Sorry, my forecast video randomly stopped on me after 4 minutes. I was going to say after that 80s and low 90s (High 20s to low 30s in celsius) could be likely in parts of the Great Lakes and Northeast US in mid August. Then do my normal Have any other questions feel free to comment routine. Anyways, Tropical Storm Bertha formed yesterday and is expected to affect the Virgin Islands/Puerto Rico/Dominican Republic on Saturday and Sunday; slightly east of the Bahamas on Monday; before potentially pushing northeast in the Atlantic Ocean and weakening on Tuesday. It is a weak tropical storm at this point and is not expected to form into a hurricane. Strength of storm will vary as there are pockets of warm and cool waters in the Atlantic Ocean.1-4 inches (25-102 mm) of rain are likely in the areas that Bertha is expected to make landfall in. This will help relieve the drought situation in the extreme Eastern areas of the Caribbean. The developing El Nino summer has not only allowed a persistent trough over the lakes, but the absence of a Bermuda High over the Atlantic Ocean has made hurricanes and tropical storms difficult to form. One of the reasons why it has been dry in not only the far west this summer, but in the Caribbean as well. AHEAD TO THE LONG RANGE: July 2014s average pattern clearly showed heat/dryness favoring the west with a trough further east (I call it a drunk jet stream). This is similar to the pattern we saw this past winter with endless cold further east but with record breaking warmth and drought further west, as well as very wet conditions along the East Coast into parts of the Maritimes. For July, this made many days of the month feel more like September here in Ontario, especially in mid and late month. However, in mid August, I am expecting the jet stream to flatten out a bit. What does this mean? It means the far west will have more typical summer weather; the cold will stay further north in extreme Northern Ontario, and in parts of the Eastern Prairies, but a noticeable warmup is likely in the Eastern US, as well as the Great Lakes. As a result, it WILL feel more like summer at that point. Also, as the result of this pattern change, this Bermuda High could fuel warmer Atlantic Ocean temps resulting in hurricanes and tropical storms to form a little more frequently in the Atlantic Basin. I hope you all enjoy the potential warmup!
Posted on: Fri, 01 Aug 2014 20:53:49 +0000
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