Special NightWatch comment: US media outlets have reported that one or more US intelligence agencies told the US President that Russia would not send military forces into Ukraine. NightWatch cannot attest to the truth of the allegations, but they were made by senior members of the US Congress and by prominent news services. What it can assert with authority and has taught since the late 1990s, in classified and open source venues, is that US intelligence analysts should never fail to warn of Russian or other national conventional force war preparations, including China, Pakistan and India. Warning of war and warning of attack are intelligence problems that US defense intelligence solved for all countries by the year 2000. Analysts around the world who did not know the solutions were invited to consult DIA/J2 at that time. If the Ukraine crisis involved an intelligence failure, as alleged in the press, it means the current generation of analysts has not learned the lessons of the past 60 years of intelligence experience in strategic intelligence warning. End of NightWatch for 4 March. NightWatch is brought to you by Kforce Government Solutions, Inc. (KGS), a leader in government problem-solving, Data Confidence® and intelligence. Views and opinions expressed in NightWatch are solely those of the author, and do not necessarily represent those of KGS, its management, or affiliates. KGS Logo kforcegov
Posted on: Fri, 07 Mar 2014 23:11:09 +0000
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