Two weeks ago, I wrote about how I had calculated that the median CPF balance that Singaporeans would have is about $55,000. This means that half of Singaporeans have less than $55,000 inside our CPF. In fact, I calculated that 73.5% of Singaporeans would have less than $77,500 inside our CPF. I had thus written about how even though the government knows that the majority of Singaporeans simply do not have enough inside our CPF to meet the CPF Minimum Sum, they kept increasing this Minimum Sum since the mid-1990s! Why would the government keep increasing the CPF Minimum Sum to trap Singaporeans’ CPF inside and not let Singaporeans withdraw our money? On Tuesday, I wrote that the CPF and Medisave Minimum Sums are expected to increase to $498,000 in 30 years’ time in 2044, at their current rate of growth. (You need to have enough inside your CPF to meet both the CPF and Medisave Minimum Sums before the government allows you to withdraw your CPF). And so, in order for Singaporeans who are starting work today to be able to retire in 30 years’ time, we would need to meet not only the CPF and Medisave Minimum Sum, we would also need to have enough to pay for housing loans – or about $200,000 each for a couple who buys a flat at the average price of $300,000 today. In total, a Singaporean would need to have nearly $700,000 inside our CPF to be able to retire. Today, a Singaporean earns an average of 3% on our CPF (2.5% on the Ordinary Account and 4.5% on the Special and Medisave Accounts). And because of this, it is estimated that 90% of Singaporeans are not able to meet the CPF Minimum Sum of $155,000 today. In June this year, the government finally admitted that they take our CPF to invest in the GIC. This is after many denials. Lee Kuan Yew denied this in 2001 and 2006. Then-Manpower Minister Ng Eng Hen denied this in 2007. Now, the GIC earns an estimated 6% since inception and if the 6% is rightfully returned to Singaporeans, we would have a higher chance of meeting the CPF Minimum Sum. Yesterday, I wrote about how because we are not getting the additional 3 percentage points interest back, the average Singaporean who works from 25 to 55 would be losing nearly $750,000 from our CPF (or nearly half of what we should earn on our CPF). And the average Singaporean who works from 21 to 65 would lose nearly $3 million!
Posted on: Thu, 14 Aug 2014 10:17:36 +0000
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