What happens next: J-K coalition scenarios The J-K electorate has thrown up a fractured mandate in the 12th Assembly elections, with no single party close to the numbers to form the government on its own. The possible scenarios for parties to reach the magic figure of 44 in the 87-member House and form the government are: SCENARIO I PDP 28 + Cong 12 + CPM 1 + Independents 3 = 44 A fragile situation in which the BJP can cause serious problems SCENARIO II PDP 28 + BJP 25 = 53 NC may spoil the game by taunting PDP for aligning with BJP and giving it a backdoor entry into Kashmir. Congress is likely to be equally ruthless SCENARIO III BJP 25 + NC 15 + Peoples Conference 2 + Independents 3 = 45 PDP with highest number of seats and Congress with 12 will make it difficult for the government to function SCENARIO IV All parties stay put and don’t enter an alliance, which seems unlikely
Posted on: Wed, 24 Dec 2014 11:12:56 +0000
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