Çindəki son etiraz aksiyalarından sonra Bjezinskinin neçə illər əvvəl yazdığı Böyük şahmat taxtası kitabından bu hissə yada düşür. səhifə 161: Tensions within China could also intensify, as a result of the inevitable unevenness of highly accelerated economic growth, driven heavily by the uninhibited exploitation of marginal advantages. The coastal South and East as well as the principal urban centers—more accessible to foreign investment and overseas trade—have so far been the major beneficiaries of Chinas impressive economic growth. In contrast, the inland rural areas in general and some of the outlying regions have lagged (with upward of 100 million rural unemployed). The resulting resentment over regional disparities could begin to interact with anger over social inequality. Chinas rapid growth is widening the social gap in the distribution of wealth. At some point, either because the government may seek to limit such differences or because of social resentment from below, the regional disparities and the wealth gap could in turn impact on the countrys political stability. The second reason for cautious skepticism regarding the widespread prognoses of Chinas emergence during the next quarter of a century as a dominating power in global affairs is, indeed, the future of Chinas politics. The dynamic character of Chinas non-statist economic transformation, including its social openness to the rest of the world, is not mutually compatible in the long run with a relatively closed and bureaucratically rigid Communist dictatorship. The proclaimed communism of that dictatorship is progressively less a matter of ideological commitment and more a matter of bureaucratic vested interest. The Chinese political elite remains organized as a self-contained, rigid, disciplined, and monopolistically intolerant hierarchy, still ritualistically proclaiming its fidelity to a dogma that is said to justify its power but that the same elite is no longer implementing socially. At some point, these two dimensions of life will collide head-on, unless Chinese politics begin to adapt gradually to the social imperatives of Chinas economics.
Posted on: Thu, 02 Oct 2014 09:50:07 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015