8/28/14 -ENC-Extreme Weather Team Extreme Weather Lab Daily Forecast With Intellicast Weather Technology- Picture 2: -HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK- HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FURTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS EARLY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST LESS THAN 15 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. SEAS OF 7 TO 12 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR: _____________________________________ - BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT- HAZARDS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SHORE BREAK. HAZARDS... HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS. DANGEROUS SHORE BREAKOF 4 TO 6 FEET DIMINISHING TO 3 TO 4 FEET BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. ____________________________________ Picture 3: -Current Radar- Current radar is clear with some showers offshore and patchy ground fog. Current Conditions: Picture 4: -Current National Weather- Picture 5: -NC Weather- SYNOPSIS: HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE WEST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AS TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL MOVES NORTHEAST WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE REGION LATE THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY. OFFSHORE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK Picture 6: -THURSDAY FORECAST- Pictures: 7, 8. School Bus Forecast Picture: 9, 10 -Short Term Forecast- A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH AND REACH NORTHERN TIER LATE TONIGHT. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AND WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW SHOULD SEE HIGHS IN THE 90 TO 95 DEGREE RANGE INLAND.... WITH 80S AT THE BEACHES. AS THE FRONT MOVES IN LATE, CANT RULE OUT A ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM FOR NORTHERN TIER SO WE KEPT SMALL CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN THESE AREAS HOWEVER DONT EXPECT MUCH. Picture 11: -Extended- THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NC THURSDAY NIGHT... LINGERING INTO EARLY SATURDAY. BOUNDARY STILL LOOKS TO BE MOISTURE STARVED... SO WILL CONTINUE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. TYPICAL SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS SETS UP FRIDAY THROUGH INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK... WITH UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE. WILL CONTINUE LOW CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... THOUGH OVERALL EXPECT COVERAGE TO BE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED. RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN EARLY NEXT WEEK... WITH BETTER CHANCES OF DAILY CONVECTION AS WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATE THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW. TEMPS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE AREA... HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S/MID 70S. Picture 12: -Tropical Update- National Hurricane Center Public Advisory. .. 1. Hurricane Cristobal: Pictures: 13, 14, 15. 2. Invest 98L Pictures: 16, 17 3. Area of Intrest 3 Pictures: 18 4. Area to Watch 4 Pictures: 19 1. Invest 98L: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak area of low pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remains limited. Development of this system is unlikely before it moves inland over south Texas and northern Mexico later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. 2. A tropical wave located just west of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. This system is expected to move generally westward across the Caribbean Sea with little development during the next few days. However, environmental conditions could become favorable for some development by early next week in the western Caribbean Sea or the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Friday. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development thereafter while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. -Thats your Daily forecast from - ENC-Extreme Weather Team Extreme Weather Lab-
Posted on: Thu, 28 Aug 2014 09:13:06 +0000
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