💻📑 A simple analysis done on the basis of 2013 & 2014 votes polled and Candidates Declared by parties. SrNo here is order of winnability There are 22 seats AAP is very Strong on -AAP can surely win 21 of them 1 SANGAM VIHAR 2 DEOLI 3 SEEMAPURI 4 AMBEDKAR NAGAR 5 MANGOL PURI 6 TRILOKPURI 7 TILAK NAGAR 8 DELHI CANTT 9 SULTANPUR MAJRA 10 KIRARI 11 BURARI 12 TIMARPUR 13 KONDLI 14 KAROL BAGH 15 MODEL TOWN 16 NEW DELHI 17 BABARPUR 18 JANGPURA 19 MADIPUR 20 PATPARGANJ 21 MALVIYA NAGAR 22 LAXMI NAGAR There are 4 seats on which AAP would strong chance but would face fight from BJP - AAP can win 3 of them 23 VIKASPURI 24 PATEL NAGAR 25 HARI NAGAR 26 SHAKUR BASTI There are 9 Seats which would see a three way fight among AAP-BJP-INC - AAP can win 5 of them and 2 INC can win 27 SEELAMPUR 28 BALLIMARAN 29 OKHLA 30 BADLI 33 MUSTAFABAD 34 CHANDNI CHOWK 46 GANDHI NAGAR 47 MATIA MAHAL 48 SADAR BAZAR There would be 9 seats which would observe equal direct fight between AAP & BJP AAP can win 5 of them 31 KALKAJI 32 R K PURAM 35 RAJOURI GARDEN 36 RAJINDER NAGAR 37 SHALIMAR BAGH 38 GREATER KAILASH 39 KASTURBA NAGAR 40 DWARKA 41 BIJWASAN Next there are 4 seats on which BJP is strong but AAP would give a tough fight - AAP can win 1 of them 42 TUGHLAKABAD 43 WAZIRPUR 44 BAWANA 45 GOKALPUR Lastly there are 22 seats on which BJP is very strong but still AAP can manage to snatch one seat from them. 49 ADARSH NAGAR 50 NERELA 51 PALAM 52 MEHRAULI 53 MOTI NAGAR 54 MUNDKA 55 NANGLOI JAT 56 ROHINI 57 BADARPUR 58 JANAKPURI 59 TRI NAGAR 60 KARAWAL NAGAR 61 RITHALA 62 MATIALA 63 ROHTAS NAGAR 64 KRISHNA NAGAR 65 CHHATARPUR 66 SHAHDARA 67 UTTAM NAGAR 68 GHONDA 69 VISHWAS NAGAR 70 NAJAFGARH Thus making the tally 21+3+5+5+1+1 = 36 for AAP It would be difficult for others to push AAP below 36 but AAP leaders and volunteers needs to put all their hard efforts to maintain this lead and push themselves beyond 40 seats. Whereas it would be diffcult for BJP to go beyond 32 seats and INC to go beyond 2 seats. Delhi is likely to get AAP govt. if AAP continue to put to or increase the level of efforts it is putting currently.
Posted on: Thu, 22 Jan 2015 11:37:17 +0000
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