AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 232 PM CST MON NOV 11 2013 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT IT/S BEEN A FAIRLY TOLERABLE VETERANS DAY ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE...WITH SOME CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH...AND TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 60S AND 70S. HOWEVER...JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE...A STRONG ARTIC FRONT CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE REGION...WITH SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE DROPS BEHIND IT...AND A STRONG GRADIENT BETWEEN THE BOUNDARY AND CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN. THE FRONT ITSELF WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT. WITH SOME UPLIFT ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT... THERE WILL BE SOME WIDELY SCATTERED...LIGHT PRECIPITATION. BY SUNRISE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR A LITTLE BELOW FREEZING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHWEST...WITH READINGS IN THE 30S AND 40S OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE. BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT...PRECIPITATION COULD BRIEFLY MIX WITH SLEET OR A FEW SNOW FLURRIES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...THIS SHOULD BE OF LITTLE CONSEQUENCES...AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MOST OF THE MOISTURE EXITING THE REGION FAIRLY RAPIDLY. THE FRONT SHOULD BE CLEARING THE STATE AROUND OR A LITTLE AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT RISE MUCH IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...WITH READINGS BEGINNING TO DROP SHARPLY IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE COLDER AIR PENETRATES FURTHER INTO THE STATE. WITH THE STRONG GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND IT...WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY STRONG LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. FOR THIS REASON...WE WILL ISSUE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST NOON TUESDAY. THE GUSTY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL MAKE CONDITIONS RATHER CHILLY. BY THE LATE AFTERNOON...WIND CHILL READINGS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE 20S IN THE NORTH...AND NEAR FREEZING IN AT LEAST THE CENTRAL PORTION. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY...AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER AWAY...AND HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES IN. TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE QUITE COLD...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS IN THE NORTH...MID 20S CENTRAL AND UPPER 20S IN THE DELTA REGION. FOR THIS REASON...WE WILL CONTINUE THE FREEZE WARNING FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED TIME PERIOD. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE 40S...WITH COLD CONDITIONS CONTINUING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT MAYBE A FEW DEGREES WARMER IN MOST PLACES. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN BY THURSDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION...AND A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST. && .LONG TERM... END OF THE WEEK WILL BE UNSETTLED WITH RAIN CHANCES LINGERING EACH DAY OF THE EXTENDED. FIRST A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY BRINGING A SOMEWHAT DECENT SHOT OF PRECIP...MAINLY FRI MORNING. DREARY CONDITIONS WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL A MORE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCER MOVES IN SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS ONE HAS POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS...AS STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE USHERING IN PLENTY OF GULF MOISTURE OUT AHEAD OF ITS ARRIVAL. TEMPS WILL HAVE MODERATED BACK UP TO SEASONAL NORMALS BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 40S. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 36 42 20 45 / 30 20 0 0 CAMDEN AR 48 49 26 47 / 10 20 0 0 HARRISON AR 31 39 18 45 / 30 10 0 0 HOT SPRINGS AR 45 48 25 45 / 20 20 0 0 LITTLE ROCK AR 44 47 24 45 / 20 20 0 0 MONTICELLO AR 46 47 28 46 / 10 20 0 0 MOUNT IDA AR 42 47 22 47 / 20 20 0 0 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 33 40 18 45 / 40 10 0 0 NEWPORT AR 36 42 20 44 / 20 20 0 0 PINE BLUFF AR 44 46 25 45 / 10 20 0 0 RUSSELLVILLE AR 40 46 22 46 / 20 20 0 0 SEARCY AR 39 45 22 45 / 20 20 0 0 STUTTGART AR 42 45 24 45 / 20 20 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST TUESDAY FOR ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN- LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE- POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL. FREEZE WARNING FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 10 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN- LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE- POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL. &&
Posted on: Mon, 11 Nov 2013 21:56:16 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015