AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 945 PM CDT SAT JUN 29 2013 .UPDATE... CONVECTION ACROSS THE PANHANDLES WILL GENERALLY HAVE A SOUTH- SOUTHEAST MOVEMENT OVERNIGHT PRIMARILY PASSING SOUTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT STILL PERHAPS BRUSHING THE SOUTHWEST CORNER. HRRR AND LOCAL WRF SUGGEST THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS MAY MOVE PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OF A HOLLIS-ALTUS-WICHITA FALLS LINE AND THEREFORE HAVE EXPANDED POPS SLIGHTLY NORTHEAST. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CDT SAT JUN 29 2013/ DISCUSSION... HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM EARLIER TODAY HAVE MOVED SOUTH OR DISSIPATED THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION WITH DRIER AND SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR FILTERING IN. MORE SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTN/EVENING. MOST ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF THE FA WITH PRONOUNCED NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW...BUT SOME SHOWERS/TSTMS COULD WORK INTO THE FAR WEST TONIGHT AND WILL LEAVE LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST. COOLER AND DRIER AIR PROGD TO FILTER INTO REGION THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE COMING WEEK WITH DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN WESTERN RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH. MODELS SIMILAR IN GRADUALLY RETROGRADING UPPER TROUGH WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH THE WEAKENING TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE PD. AS A RESULT WILL NOT MAKE MUCH CHANGE TO THE LATTER PERIODS WITH TEMPS REMAINING AOB AVERAGE AND LOW PRECIP CHANCES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... OKLAHOMA CITY OK 65 83 60 83 / 10 10 10 10 HOBART OK 67 91 60 87 / 20 10 10 10 WICHITA FALLS TX 70 90 63 88 / 20 10 10 10 GAGE OK 64 84 56 83 / 20 10 10 10 PONCA CITY OK 61 84 58 83 / 10 0 10 10 DURANT OK 67 87 61 82 / 10 10 10 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. TX...NONE. && $$ 99/99
Posted on: Sun, 30 Jun 2013 05:09:56 +0000
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