Additional Info from Doc Mike: 3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK* TS Rammasun is expected to move generally westward during the next 24 to 48 hours...and will turn west-northwestward with a slight decrease in its forward speed by 72 hours. On the forecast track, the storm will traverse the central portion of the Philippine Sea by Monday afternoon...passing very close to Northern Catanduanes by Tuesday afternoon...and make landfall just south of Baler, Aurora on Wednesday morning. By Wednesday afternoon, Rammasun will be over Pangasinan or in the vicinity of Dagupan City after traversing the provinces of Aurora and Nueva Ecija. Rammasun will continue to slowly intensify during the next 24 to 48 hours...and could become a minimal Typhoon on Tuesday afternoon. By 72 hours, the cyclone will be downgraded into a Tropical Storm as it interacts with the mountains of Central Luzon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 120 kph by Tuesday afternoon. The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system: MONDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens further as it moves westward across the central part of the Philippine Sea...about 650 km East of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM JUL 14: 13.8N 130.2E @ 85kph]. TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Category 1 Typhoon as it passes very close to Northern Catanduanes...about 45 km North of Pandan, Catanduanes [2PM JUL 15: 14.5N 124.3E @ 120kph]. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Over Pangasinan as it weakens into a TS while crossing Central Luzon...about 10 km North of Dagupan City [2PM JUL 16: 16.1N 120.3E @ 100kph].
Posted on: Sun, 13 Jul 2014 12:03:17 +0000
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