As anticipated,super typhoon(SuperTY) utor tracked westward and made a landfall in southern part of LUZON before dawn(to be exact,3am),the region which high mountains is not too many. Also,its intensity has weakened a little bit to severe typhoon(STY) as a result of choosing the favourable track. Under the benefit ,a good news is that it has been restructured so fast that the stage seemingly passes through. in this way,it can re-intensify once again,thus Superty is possible. In fact,the western margin of the subtropical ridge(STR) is keeping weakening under the attack of the first westerlies.And another one is approaching,the STR will inevitably further weaken and even partition into two pieces,thus guiding utor to adpot a northerly track towards the western part of guangdong to pearl river estuary. If utor can continue increase its intensity,a more northerly track which enabling the utor to direct hit hong kong is inclined to emerge. To my belief,Utor will start move in NW/WNW direction gradually ,crossing the north eastern south china sea and as the STR further abates and its increasing intensity,it will take a northerly track and come closer to pearl river estuary.(It is the route I drew earlier)
Posted on: Mon, 12 Aug 2013 05:30:08 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015