BEST SUPPORTING ROLES ACTOR 1. J. K. Simmons, Whiplash (Likelihood: 100) 2. Edward Norton, Birdman (L: 85) 3. Ethan Hawke, Boyhood (L: 84) 4. Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher (L: 68) 5. Miyavi, Unbroken (L: 56) Just outside: Tom Wilkinson, Selma (L: 41) Less likely: Robert Duvall, The Judge (L: 31), Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice (L: 28), Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes (L: 20) Three of the acting categories already have unanimous consensuses about who is most likely, including J. K. (Farmers Insurance Guy) Simmons. Tom Wilkinson would have had an even higher score were it not for one of the sites I track (albeit a reliable one) putting him at #10, so I still think its possible for him to get in for either Ruffalo or Miyavi. ACTRESS 1. Patricia Arquette, Boyhood (Likelihood: 100) 2. Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game (L: 79) 3. Meryl Streep, Into the Woods (L: 78) 4. Emma Stone, Birdman (L: 74) 5. Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year (L: 55) Just outside: Laura Dern, Wild (L: 54) Less likely: Jessica Chastain, Interstellar (L: 27) Dern and Chastain have been trading places for months now, although until recently it was for Chastain in Interstellar (her role in AMVY was unclear about lead or supporting). If Wild gets so-so reviews, Derns likely to fall further back.
Posted on: Sun, 30 Nov 2014 20:57:26 +0000
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