EUROPEAN MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW MODERATE EVENT FOR NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND COASTAL NORTHEAST (will post the rest of the euro run in a separate post since I cant post more than 4 photos) It has been a bit of a broken record with the last several events where the European leads the way and the American models follow. Oddly enough the Canadian model isnt lending support to this at all. I put up side by side the European, GFS, Parallel GFS, and Canadian models for 7pm Saturday night December 20th The European map does not have a precip map available so it is different then the other three. What it does show is in the light blue shaded areas it would be cold enough for snow. A low in that position would produce a moderate snowfall for interior Virginia and Eastern West Virginia northeast into Pennsylvania. I would probably put Philadelphia and New York City in snow. looking at this. Higher amounts inland of course but this is all in theory at this point anyway. The GFS at least has gotten away from the notion of a primary low going westbound which we knew was a bit silly given what we are dealing with. However it has a suppressed look to it and would imply little or nothing. The parallel GFS is further north and it brings precip into South Jersey at its most northern point. The Canadian shows absolutely nothing!!!! The Canadian not being on board with the Euro would be a bit unusual given that it was there with the Euro in the last couple of events or at least came around before the other models so we will wait to see what happens later. Right now we are still in watch and wait mode.
Posted on: Sun, 14 Dec 2014 12:09:30 +0000
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