Ed Steers Gold & Silver Daily / Casey Research 8/1/2014 | Thursday Market Analysis GOLD The gold price didnt do a thing in Far East or most of the London trading day on their Thursday. But as I pointed out in The Wrap in yesterdays column, if there was any serious price action coming our way, it would occur during the New York trading session---and that turned out to be the case. Most of the technical fund selling/Commercial buying came at three different times of the day---including the rally in electronic trading after the Comex close. If left to its own devices, gold would have probably closed up on the day. The high and low tick were reported by the CME Group at $1,298.80 and $1,281.30 in the December contract. Gold closed the trading day on Thursday in New York at $1,280.50 spot, down $14.00 from Wednesdays close. Volume, net of August, was 152,000 contracts. SILVER For the umpteenth day in a row, the silver price was spiked lower at the 6 p.m. open in New York on Wednesday evening. From there, silver traded a bit differently than gold during the late Far East and early London trading day. After doing nothing for most of Thursday in Hong Kong, the silver price began to rally shortly before 2 p.m. local time. The rally topped out/got capped about an hour after London opened---and it was all down hill from there, helped along with an additional shove at the Comex open. Silver hit its low tick at the 1:30 p.m. Comex close---and the subsequent rally in electronic trading met the same fate as gold---and at the same time as well. The high and low for silver yesterday was recorded as $20.78 and $20.37 in the September contract, an intraday move of 2 percent. Silver closed on Thursday afternoon in New York at $20.38 spot, down 23.5 cents from Wednesdays close. Volume, net of August, was 44,000 contracts---of which about 2,700 were traded in the December contract. PLATINUM & PALLADIUM The trading patters for platinum and palladium were similar, with the major sell-offs beginning at the Comex open in New York. Platinum finished the day down 19 dollars---and palladium by 6 bucks. USDX The dollar index closed late on Wednesday afternoon in New York at 81.40---and traded flat until 2 p.m. Hong Kong time on their Thursday afternoon. The tiny rally that began at that point topped out at 81.56 at the 8:20 a.m. Comex open in New York. It slid down to 81.42 just before the London p.m gold fix---and traded flat after that. The index closed at 81.43---which was basically unchanged from Wednesday. GOLD & SILVER STOCKS Not surprisingly, the gold stocks gapped down at the open---and then hit their low of the day at 1 p.m. EDT---and after that they didnt do much. The HUI closed out the last day of July down 2.17%. The silver equities followed a similar pattern, with their low tick coming a precisely 1:00 p.m. EDT as well. But because the metal itself did so poorly, the silver equities closed down more, as Nick Lairds Intraday Silver Sentiment Index finished the day down 2.55%. The CME Daily Delivery Report for Day Two of the August delivery month showed that 1,743 gold and 9 silver contracts were posted for delivery within the Comex-approved depositories on Monday. The big short/issuer in gold was HSBC USA with 1,739 contracts---and the four biggest long/stoppers were JPMorgan with 548 contracts in its client account, Morgan Stanley with 462 in its in-house proprietary trading account, Barclays with 323 in its in-house trading account---and Canadas Scotiabank with 298 contract. There were half a dozen or so small long/stoppers as well---and yesterdays Issuers and Stoppers Report, which is linked here, is certainly worth a look. As I said in this space yesterday, I would be checking Thursdays preliminary report from the CME---and it showed that gold open interest for August only declined by 792 contracts from Wednesdays total, and is now down to 8,128 contracts. I dont know what percentage of this will end up standing for delivery, but based on this number, there are still lots of gold deliveries left to go for August---and the only thing to watch for going forward, is how long a period of time the delivery process is stretched out over. As Ted Butler has pointed out to me on many occasions, theres no advantage for the short/issuers to hold back on deliveries---unless they dont have the gold to deliver, of course. I find that situation unlikely, but Ill be watching the daily deliveries with more than the usual amount of interest as the month progresses---and Ill keep you posted. As far as silver is concerned, the August open interest dropped from 237 contracts down to 19 contracts. Most of that decrease was the deliveries from the first day notice report on Wednesday, which was 225 contracts. If you subtract out the 9 silver contracts posted for delivery on Monday that I spoke of a few paragraphs ago, theres not much left to deliver in silver for August---barring unseen/surprise delivery requests as the month progresses. There were no reported changes in GLD yesterday---and as of 7:47 p.m. yesterday evening, there were no reported changes in SLV, either. United States Mint There was a tiny sales report to round out the month of July, as the U.S. Mint reported selling 50,000 silver eagles---and that was all. For the month of July, the mint sold 30,000 troy ounces of gold eagles---5,500 one-ounce 24K gold buffaloes---and 1,975,000 silver eagles. July was the slowest month for silver eagle sales for all of 2014 so far---and the same can be said for the 24K gold buffalo as well. COMEX Over at the Comex-approved depositories on Wednesday, there was a decent amount of gold moved around---and it was a lot quieter in silver for a change. In gold, there was 69,707 troy ounces reported received---and 5,146 troy ounces shipped out. The link to that activity is here. In silver, there was nothing reported received---and only 116,017 troy ounces were shipped out the door. #gold #silver #platinum #palladium #preciousmetals #copper #USDollar #USDX #stocks #goldstocks #silverstocks #HUI #GLD #SLV #DailyDeliveryReport #contracts #futures #USMint #GoldAmericanEagle #GoldBuffalo #SilverAmericanEagle #RCMint #GoldMapleLeaf #SilverMapleLeaf #Comex #CME #EdSteer #GoldAndSilverDaily #CaseyResearch
Posted on: Fri, 01 Aug 2014 19:03:35 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015