European integration does not stop On passing on 24-25 October in Minsk summit of CIS sensations did not happen - Putin has not held a private meeting with Yanukovych and, accordingly, could not convince a neighbor to abandon European integration. In Kiev itself , however, in the fact that Ukraine may go the way of Armenia, no one initially believed. Kiev and Brussels quickly meet each other . According to rumors , the EU is willing to waive the requirement to immediately set free oppositionist Yulia Tymoshenko, the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and , in turn , hastened to declare that the government had complied with all the requirements of Europe - if only she did not close for her path to integration. The Association Agreement will close forever the way for Ukraine into the Customs Union and the Eurasian political and economic space . But the Kremlin did not want to put up with it . In any event , on the eve of the summit in the capital of Belarus experts expect that in Minsk Russian president will make his Ukrainian counterpart , an offer he can not refuse : the rejection of European integration in exchange for new loans and cheap gas . Russia , in general, it costs nothing to reduce the price of their blue fuel for Ukraine even three times. Experts suggested that the talks with Yanukovych Putin , of course, will try to play on the contradictions that arise between Kiev and Brussels in connection with the Tymoshenko case . Putin , they said, is likely to directly declare Yanukovych , the Kremlin , in contrast to European commissioners, forgive him to imprisonment of his main political opponent in jail. On the other hand, many analysts on the eve of the summit was already clear that the Ukrainian political elite has made its choice. Anyway , Tymoshenko released - on the sidelines of the Verkhovna Rada of her departure for medical treatment in Germany is considered a foregone conclusion. The Association Agreement with the European Union could be signed , and without addressing the treatment of former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko abroad - said on the eve of the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Volodymyr Rybak. A Ukrainian business elite is prepared to punch in connection with the possible unleashing of a new trade war with Russia . Of course , the Kremlin , this situation seriously unnerving . And it began to appear before the summit in Minsk. State Duma Speaker Sergei Naryshkin has postponed his visit to Ukraine to take part in the 11th meeting of the Inter-Parliamentary Cooperation Commission of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine and the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. Experts believe - all the matter is that Kiev took the course of European integration . The head of the Duma Committee on CIS Affairs and Relations with Compatriots Leonid Slutsky in comments to journalists did not even bother to hide the reasons for Russias demarche . It is clear that in view of the forthcoming accession of Ukraine an associate member of the European Union, the possibility of independent decision- making within the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine will be in some way - say diplomatically - corrected. How will this affect the decision-making in the cosmos and the atom - is an issue that needs further expert study , - he threatened. There is one more trifling issue, which, however, can lead to a serious increase in tension between Russia and Ukraine. In the neighboring country, was arrested and stripped of parliamentary powers of deputy Igor Markov , known for his pro-Russian views. October 22 in Odessa Markov was handed a message on suspicion of having committed an offense under Part 4 of Art. 296 of the Criminal Code ( hooliganism) . Policies of the organization and is charged with the commission of beating picket in Odessa. According to the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine Ofsted , we are talking about the events of 2007, when there were near Odessa Regional State Administration pickets against the establishment of a monument to Catherine II . All anything, but supporters picketed Markov in Odessa regional police department. It got to this fight : Ukrainian police staged a fight with supporters of the pro-Russian politician . And on October 24 Moscow made the same mistake , which is repeated on a regular basis , but that is so stubbornly refuses to admit it. She was talking to a neighbor from a position of strength. In the State Duma of Russia demanded the immediate release of Markov . We in the Committee on CIS Affairs , the State Duma, will keep the situation related to Igor Markov , on the tight control . We will clearly require the authorities of Ukraine Igor Markovs early release due to the unjustified detention , it is seen as such by the State Duma , - declared that same Slutsky. What does it matter to the Russian domestic political conflict in Ukraine? According to political analyst Sergei Vysotsky Liga.net portal , Moscow so learned nothing, and makes for Ukraines European integration more than the local government and the opposition together. Yanukovych, who builds an image of a strong and credible policy simply can not afford to tolerate such a slap in the face and threats from the Kremlin. Political analyst Taras Berezovets believes that the Association Agreement with the EU in any case, Yanukovych will sign , even if they have to release and rehabilitate Tymoshenko. He s just no other choice. Moscow has shown what risks and losses may turn out to Kiev rejection of European integration. Ukrainian elite is not going to obey the Russian , - he said. Not in favor of Ukraines integration with the Customs Union said two more factors . First, public opinion polls show that the majority of the population relies on the signing of the Association Agreement . Movement toward the TC only want 30-35 % of Ukrainians. Second, against rapprochement with Russia today set the entire Ukrainian elite - both the government and the opposition , and the local oligarchy , and literally all the officials who have at least some business . Why is this so? In the Ukraine, are convinced that the Kremlin has transferred . Too much for Ukraine recently by the Russian rained mud : and promotional commercials on TV, and the trade wars and threats to organize the economic collapse of Ukraine. With Yanukovych to act like it was impossible. What , in fact, confirmed the summit in Minsk. According to official reports, the two leaders exchanged just a few words on a common dinner and did not carry out a personal meeting . Therefore , the parties are aware that bargaining on the issue of Ukraines European integration is irrelevant or prospects. Russias position regarding Ukraines intention to enter into an agreement with the EU, Vladimir Putin announced yesterday at a press conference after the summit . According to him , the signing of this agreement will make Ukraines accession to the Customs Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan impossible. He also stressed that Russia would be forced to take measures to protect its market. Speaking about the intention of Ukraine as a whole, Putin said : We are not for or against , this is not our business, it is the sovereign right of the Ukrainian leadership in the person of the president , the parliament and the government. At that Viktor Yanukovych is still hoping to soften the reaction eastern neighbor in the European elections of Kyiv and continues to push through various initiatives . So , at the summit in Minsk , he proposed the creation of a permanent advisory committee of Ukraine - EU - the Customs Union to compromise in the trade. We have a joint anxiety regarding trade with Ukraine after the creation of a free trade zone with the European Union , - he said. - We have therefore proposed to form a permanent advisory body of Ukraine - EU - the Customs Union . However, as far as this offer might interest Moscow - the big question . Maxim Shveits Details : rosbalt.ru/ukraina/2013/10/25/1192503.html
Posted on: Fri, 25 Oct 2013 14:51:07 +0000