FXUS62 KMLB 070828 AFDMLB AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 328 AM EST FRI NOV 7 2014 .DISCUSSION... TODAY...COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA WILL PUSH TO NEAR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND BY SUNSET. MOISTURE IS SHALLOW AND INSTABILITY IS LOW SO THE FRONT WILL COME THROUGH DRY. A PERIOD OF CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING THEN LOW LEVEL DRYING AND DIMINISHING CIRRUS SHOULD BRING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO THE NORTH HALF BY AFTERNOON. THE SLOWING FRONT LATE IN THE DAY SHOULD KEEP SOME CLOUDINESS ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS BUT SKIES STILL EXPECTED TO BE PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER-MID 70S NORTH TO 80 DEGREES AROUND OKEECHOBEE. TONIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PUSH TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING AND EASTERLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS WILL START TO RETURN SOME ATLANTIC MOISTURE/CLOUDS TO THE COAST AND INLAND. MOISTURE WILL BE SHALLOW SO DO NOT EXPECT SHOWER CHANCES EXCEPT POSSIBLY FOR THE FAR SOUTH COAST. MIN TEMPS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN THE NORTH INTERIOR TO LOWER-MID 60S ALONG THE MARTIN COUNTY COAST. SAT-SUN NIGHT...SHORT WAVE OVER EAST TEXAS/LOUISIANA TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA EXITING INTO THE ATLANTIC SUN NIGHT. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE HELPING LARGE SCALE VERTICAL LIFT...MID LEVEL VORTICITY ADVECTION AND MOISTURE POOLING AHEAD OF THE TROUGH PRODUCES INCREASING RAIN CHANCES SAT AND SAT NIGHT. COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES...-8C TO -10C...ADVECTING IN WILL BRING A THUNDER POTENTIAL. HIGHS SAT UPPER 70S/LOW 80S AHEAD OF THE FRONT TAKE A MODEST DIP... LOWER-MID 70S...NORTH TO SOUTH SUN AS THE FRONT PUSHES DOWN THE PENINSULA CLEARING CENTRAL FLORIDA SUN NIGHT. MON-THU...FRONT CLEARS CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA THEN STALLS OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS MON NIGHT. PARENT LOW WELL EAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEAST. DRIER AIR MASS WORKS ITS WAY INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH RESULTANT LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE LOWER 40S MON. SHORT LIVED LOW RH VALUES INCREASE INTO THE MID/UPPER 40S NORTH AND LOW 50S SOUTH TUE CONTINUE TO INCREASE WED AND THU AS WINDS SHIFTING TO THE EAST BRING ATLANTIC AIR MASS INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA. MID/UPPER 70S MON RISE INTO THE UPPER 70S/LOW 80S TUE AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH THU. && .AVIATION...A NARROW BAND OF LOW STRATUS AND PATCHY ADVECTION FOG HAS BEEN OCCURRING JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WAS APPROACHING THE NORTHERN TERMINALS. THIS WILL AFFECT SITES DOWN TO KISM-KMCO- KMLB BUT ONLY FOR A SHORT TIME. VFR BY 14Z. && .MARINE... TODAY-TONIGHT...A BRIEF NORTHWEST TO NORTH WIND SURGE WILL OCCUR BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. MARGINAL ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OFFSHORE NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET...ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF STREAM. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL START TO EASE IN THE AFTERNOON BUT NORTHERLY WINDS NEAR 15 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS TO THE GULF STREAM. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO AROUND 10 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SAT-SUN...ONSHORE WINDS SAT SHIFT TO THE NORTH AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS SUN AS A DEVELOPING LOW OFF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA LIFTS NORTHEAST MON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET SAT BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. ISOLATED STORMS SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MON-TUE...WINDS SHIFT ONSHORE AROUND 10 KNOTS EARLY MON AND REMAIN ONSHORE TUE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 71 54 76 61 / 0 10 10 60 MCO 77 56 78 62 / 0 0 30 70 MLB 76 60 77 65 / 10 10 30 70 VRB 78 62 78 64 / 10 10 30 70 LEE 74 54 76 59 / 0 0 30 70 SFB 75 55 76 62 / 0 0 20 70 ORL 76 57 77 62 / 0 0 30 70 FPR 78 62 78 65 / 10 10 30 70 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE. && $$ SHORT TERM...LASCODY LONG TERM....WIMMER PALMBAYWEATHER.info
Posted on: Fri, 07 Nov 2014 08:29:02 +0000
Trending Topics
Recently Viewed Topics
© 2015