Friday, Oct. 4 Limited-area severe thunderstorm and tornado - TopicsExpress

Friday, Oct. 4 Limited-area severe thunderstorm and tornado outbreak. Severe thunderstorms in IA, south MN, south half WI, central and southwest MI, north IL, northwest MO, east NE, extreme southeast SD, east KS, north-central OK. TOR:CON - 5 north IA; 4 south IA, east NE, south MN, southwest WI; 2 to 3 rest of area TOR:CON details: IA north - 5 IA south - 4 IL north - 3 to 4 KS east, south-central - 2 MI central, southwest - 2 MN south - 4 MO extreme northwest - 4 NE east - 4 OK north-central - 2 SD extreme southeast - 3 WI south half - 4 Saturday, Oct. 5 Isolated severe thunderstorms in MI, IN, west and north OH, west and north-central KY, west TN as a cold front heads eastward but instability seems to weaken. TOR:CON - 2 to 3 north and central MI, 2 or less elsewhere. A chance of an isolated damaging gust in the FL panhandle, north and west-central FL peninsula, south GA if a tropical low moves onshore - but computer models differ on this so confidence is low. TOR:CON - 2 for now. Monitor subsequent forecasts

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