From the Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest for 7/23/14 NC-Sen: PPP returns to their home state and brings Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan some good news. They find her leading Republican state House Speaker Thom Tillis 41 to 34, with Libertarian nominee Sean Haugh continuing to take a relatively big 8 percent. In June, she had a slightly smaller five-point lead. Neither major party candidate is at all popular: Hagans approval rating is underwater at 40/50, which would normally be fatal for a red state Democrat. However, probably due to the ugly legislative session, Tillis is in much worse shape with a horrific 24/47 favorable rating. There are some big notes of caution here. Haughs supporters are largely Republican leaning: When they are asked to choose between Hagan and Tillis, Hagans overall lead shrinks from seven to three points. Its also quite possible that once the legislative session is over Tilliss ratings will start to recover. A similar thing happened to Republican Gov. Pat McCrory last year: As the 2013 legislative session became a distant memory for most voters, his approval went from an anemic 35/53 to a far less dire 42/47. Of course, this time Hagan and her allies will be spending millions to remind voters in November why they hate Tillis now.
Posted on: Fri, 25 Jul 2014 21:02:14 +0000
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