From the National Weather Service--Louisville.... ***Rumor Control About Big Storm(s) Next Week*** With our office among others fielding questions about potential storms next week, we thought it was a good time to remind people what we know, what we dont, and our limitations. With the internet and social media, combined with plentiful access to weather information, misinformation can spread quickly. What We Know: • Our forecasting skill declines as time scales increase, especially beyond 5 days. We just are not that good beyond that. Dont believe the hype for any storms beyond that time frame. • A significant weather system will affect the Ohio Valley next week, with the best chances for precipitation from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. Do we have any idea exactly what will happen? No, not this far out. What could be a snowstorm on one computer model run could just as easily change to a wintry mix or nothing at all, the next model run. Our Limitations: • We have access to computer model information out to 10 days and beyond. With a good conscience, we cant post about every potential 7 to 10 day storm, like some do on social media or the internet. Our mission is to protect life and property and we will do that by posting sound, clear, and concise forecasts and warnings, when our confidence warrants that.
Posted on: Fri, 31 Jan 2014 15:59:37 +0000
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