#GuruQuickPredictions [NA MATCHES] : here are our predictions about the four ESEA/CEVO matches scheduled for today: #CEVO1 • [iBP - SKDC] : SKDC are usually considered a low-end team within the NA scene, but we have to say that they are playing their CEVO season in a more than decent way, and they have some good chances to reach playoffs, for sure they had a favorable match schedule, compared to many other teams, and facing stronger teams on non-classic maps is always a consistent advantage, but at the end the final result is what matters, and their combo of luck + good team-play is working fine. This is match is not an exception to their luck, and facing iBP on an heavily sided map such as de_nuke may give them some advantage (if theyll manage to win the knife round and start as CT), however iBP are usually pretty strong on this map, then I doubt that SKDC will be able to take more than 10-12 rounds, but in a day that already featured the double defeat of NiP, wouldnt be surprising watch another giant falling. Our odds are 75/25 in favor of iBP, with a risk factor of 7.5, and we suggest an Avg+ bet on them. #ESEA1 • [SKDC - Reliable] : Despite the very skewed CSGL Odds, this is basically a 50/50 match, both teams are quite awful on de_inferno, and always played it in a very inconsistent way, then the outcome is going to be pretty random. We do not suggest to place high bets on this match, but instead you may try an ICB on lower odds (Reliable), or just skip it. #ESEA2 • [Exertus - iBP] : Drrrrrrrriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiinnnnnnnnnn. Our alarm bell is ringing, just like de_season, de_mirage is another map where usually NA top-teams do not really perform well, despite being into the official map pool, a lot of NA teams never really learned it. Exertus are usually pretty decent on de_mirage, and they already played several times on it, in both ESEA and CEVO, winning all their games. iBP never played this map yet during the current season, but they probably practiced it a bit just during their pre-ESL One bootcamp, however they somehow managed to play it in a pretty decent way during the previous season (but happened really a long time ago). This is ESEA, then the “home team” rule is in use, and means that Exertus will start as CT, and this is a quite good advantage on de_mirage, which is a mildly CT sided map. Our advice is to skip the match, or you may try an ICB on Exertus (but the CSGL Odds for them are a bit too high = not really profitable for setting up a real ICB). #CEVO2 • [Area51 - VexX] : Both teams are doing pretty bad on CEVO (and VexX is doing not so great also in ESEA-P), after a promising start they started freefalling, and then this match is going to be a roulette, in particular because the map is de_nuke, this means that we will likely watch it going to the knife round winner. However we believe that A51 are slightly advantaged, and on the paper they should be a bit better. Our odds are 55/45 in favor of A51, with a risk factor of 8.5, and we suggest a Low bet on them. ================================== #Twitter → twitter/csgo_guru #Donations → goo.gl/4fdu2g
Posted on: Mon, 25 Aug 2014 23:39:54 +0000
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