HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 805 PM CDT FRI AUG 2 2013 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031000- HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE- ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM- WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND- POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 805 PM CDT FRI AUG 2 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE. DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FORMED LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS...ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND STRONG INSTABILITY. WEAK VERTICAL WIND PROFILES WILL LIMIT THE STRENGTH AND COVERAGE OF THE STORMS...BUT A FEW SEVERE STORMS MAY OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR SEVERE STORMS IS NORTH OF A LINE FROM ALVA TO ENID TO PERRY. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY AUG 3. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...80 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...50 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR...CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS REMAIN LOW. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 105 WILL BE COMMON DURING THE AFTERNOON EACH DAY. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM SATURDAY. $$ CMS
Posted on: Sat, 03 Aug 2013 04:16:54 +0000
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