Heres a state-by-state breakdown of those 10 US Senate races critical to taking control of Congress away from the Democrats. Note especially Alaska & Arkansas (Hooray!): ALASKA Sullivan outraised Begich for the second straight quarter — this time by roughly $1 million. Republican Dan Sullivan has led all eight post-primary polls against Senator Begich. ARKANSAS Republican Tom Cotton brought in a record $3.8 million. He outraised Senator Mark Pryor for the fourth straight quarter and has nearly three times the cash on hand. Eight of the last nine non-partisan polls show Cotton with the lead. COLORADO Republican Cory Gardner outraised Senator Mark Udall during the third quarter and has a nearly 2-1 cash on hand advantage. Udall has trailed in nine of the last 10 non-partisan polls, after enjoying a seven-point lead back in July. The latest Quinnipiac poll had Gardner up six points. IOWA Republican Joni Ernst raised a whopping $6 million in the third quarter, more than twice as much as Democrat Bruce Braley. Of the last 11 non-partisan polls, Braley has led in only one. The eight-point lead he enjoyed in the spring evaporated. The latest USA Today/Suffolk poll has Ernst up four points. LOUISIANA Republican Bill Cassidy had his strongest quarter to date and has over $1 million more cash on hand than Mary Landrieu. Cassidy has led Landrieu in seven straight non-partisan polls and has been ahead in polling averages since December. MONTANA Republican Steve Daines outraised Democrat Amanda Curtis three-to-one in the third quarter. Daines has led in every non-partisan poll by at least 18 points. NEW HAMPSHIRE Republican Scott Brown outraised Senator Jeanne Shaheen in the third quarter. Democrats mistakenly thought this was a safe seat. Until September, most polls showed Shaheen with a double-digit lead, but now the race has tightened dramatically. Brown led in the most recent New England College poll. NORTH CAROLINA Republican Thom Tillis had his best quarter, posting a $3.2 million fundraising haul and has more cash on hand than Senator Kay Hagan. The race has tightened dramatically, with Tillis taking the lead in a High Point University Poll. SOUTH DAKOTA Republican Mike Rounds hasnt trailed in a poll all year and has outraised both of his opponents to date. WEST VIRGINIA Republican Shelley Moore Capito hasnt trailed in a poll all year and has consistently outraised her Democrat opponent, Natalie Tennant. Even beyond the Senate races, its a promising year for Republicans. For example, the GOP is competitive in the Democrat-leaning Northeast in key gubernatorial, Senate, and House races. Republicans are leading or are competitive in the Maine, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New Hampshire gubernatorial races. Republicans are also poised to pick up House seats in Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and New York. Democrats are also losing in GOP-held districts they hoped to win in New York and New Jersey. In addition to Scott Browns strong campaign in New Hampshire, Senator Susan Collins of Maine enjoys a comfortable 30-point lead, according to the RealClearPolitics average.
Posted on: Thu, 23 Oct 2014 21:26:14 +0000
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