Hungary’s centre-right Fidesz won re-election as expected. With 90% of votes counted, it still wasn’t clear though if the party would win enough seats to retain a 2/3 majority (needed to push through constitutional changes) - the latest projection had: Fidesz 133 seats MSZP/E14-PM/DK 38 Jobbik 23 LMP 5 Yet, in two constituencies the result was still too close to call with candidates separated by a handful (literally) of votes. In terms of the nationwide vote share, Fidesz was on 44.3%, MSZP/E14-PM 25.8%, Jobbik 20.6%, LMP 5.2%. In 2010, Fidesz had won 52.73% of the vote, MSZP (standing alone) 23.91%, Jobbik 16.67%, LMP 7.48% At the time of writing, Fidesz was projected the largest party in all but 10 of Hungary’s 106 constituencies. Viktor Orban is the first Hungarian PM to win back-to-back elections since the fall of communism. Voter turnout was projected at 60.56%, from 64.38% in 2010 Turnout in Afghanistan’s presidential elections was 58%. To put the number into context, the figure is higher than in the European Parliament 2009 election (43%), and lower only than the vote in Denmark, Italy, Cyprus and Malta. A clear picture, in terms of results, isn’t expected for a few days. Elections this coming week: 1. India 2. Indonesia 3. Macedonia, presidential I round 4. Guinea-Bissau 5. Quebec An overview of these votes was included in the previous edition of the electionista briefing. This week saw the released of quite a few European Parliament election polls from a range of key countries - a few of the latest updated averages: Germany: CDU/CSU 39.8%, SPD 26.5%, GRN 10.1%, LINKE 7.9%, AfD 6.6%, FDP 3% UK: LAB 31%, UKIP 28%, CON 22%, LDEM 9%, GRN 4% France: UMP 22.3%, FN 21.7%, PS 18.3%, MoDem-UDI 10.3%, FdG 8.7%, EELV 8% Italy: PD 31.8%, M5S 22%, Forza Italia 21.4%, Lega 4.8%, Tsipras 3.9%, NCD 3.7%, Fd’I 3.3%, ALDE 2.4%, UDC 1.8% Greece: SYRIZA 23.5%, ND 21.9%, To Potami 11.9%, Golden Dawn 9.2%, KKE 7.3%, PASOK 6.2% Independent Greeks 4%, DIMAR 2.7% Romania: PSD 41.5%, PNL 15.9%, PDL 10.6%, PMP 9%, UDMR 6.4%, PP-DD 5.4% All the latest EP2014 polls can be found here. We will be releasing our second EU prediction at the end of the month. In other news: The Nick Clegg vs Nigel Farage EU debate on Twitter. An Ifop poll on Turkey entering the EU: France: 17% for, 83% against Germany: 28/72 Belgium: 32/68 UK: 34/66 Italy: 50/50 Spain: 56/44 and on support for exiting the euro: In Belgium 32% for, 68% no Spain 34/66 Italy 36/64 France 38/62 Germany 44/56 Support in the UK for leaving the EU drops (here and here), while the gap in Scotland (independence referendum) narrows further. Finally, Darth Vader, who has appealed an electoral commission decision to bar him from running for president, is photographed campaigning in Ukraine.
Posted on: Mon, 07 Apr 2014 07:16:12 +0000
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