Hurricane NOAA Written Forecast: BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1500 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... HURRICANE ODILE NEAR 20.0N 108.2W 941 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 14 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER. ODILE HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT. A VERY LARGE AREA OF STRONG SW WINDS EXTENDS OUT TO 400 NM S AND SW OF ODILE...DRAWING ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CIRCULATION OF ODILE...REACHING COASTAL PORTIONS OF MEXICO FROM GUERRERO TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SINALOA. THIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 15 INCHES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... COLIMA...JALISCO...AND WESTERN MICHOACAN...PRODUCING LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SW COAST OF MEXICO WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TODAY... PRODUCING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ODILE IS EXPECTED TO STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SEE LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC AND FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.
Posted on: Sun, 14 Sep 2014 16:54:41 +0000
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