Keeping an eye Hurricane Norbert in the Eastern Pacific and an area of low pressure in the eastern Atlantic Ocean, associated with a tropical wave that moved off the coast of east Africa yesterday. Hurricane Norbert, located approximately 145 miles west of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico continues to move parallel and offshore of the Baja Peninsula. Norbert is producing heavy rain and tropical storm-force winds along the coast of Baja. Rainfall totals from Cabo San Lucas over the past 24 hours have already exceeded 7 inches and other areas are receiving from 3-6 inches of rain. Heavy moisture from Norbert is also being pulled into northern Mexico and the Southwestern U.S. and this moisture will be capable of causing flooding rains this weekend in these areas. Norbert is forecasted to maintain Category 1 hurricane strength through Saturday morning. Extended models all forecast the hurricane to remain just offshore as it moves northwest parallel to the Baja Peninsula through the weekend then a more northeastward track is expected as Norbert begins to weaken and become a remnant low early next week. The primary threat will remain heavy rains. An area of low pressure moving off the coast of Africa was designated by NHC as Invest 90L. The low is producing disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms near and south of the Cape Verde Islands and some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves westward at about 15 mph. This system will bring locally heavy rain and gusty winds in squalls to portions of the Cape Verde Islands today. NHC is giving the low a 20% formation chance through 48 hours...low and a 30% chance through 5 days...medium. Extended models show the storm tracking into the open ocean next week should it develop. Elsewhere…a new tropical wave will move off Africa next week and several models are forecasting development of the wave by mid-week. Since hostile conditions in the main development region the new wave should also struggle to develop.
Posted on: Fri, 05 Sep 2014 16:46:19 +0000
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