NHC Atlantic Outlook: ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IN THE VICINITY OF BERMUDA IS ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE AND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA WITHIN THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER BEVEN nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
Posted on: Wed, 16 Oct 2013 11:52:52 +0000
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