New Zealands population is approximately 4.5 million. As per sources which have provided data to Wikipedia,New Zealand has on average 1.90 children per family (indicating 90% of families number 4 and 10% number 3). Not going too deep into probability and percentage age distribution with age groups, let there be a factor of a=1 for a family of 3 and a=1.33 for a family of 4. Now, for the average New Zealand population, a(average)=(0.9)*(1.33)+(0.1)*(1)=1.297. Hence,population eligible to make it into top 11 in International Cricket= 4.5 million/1.297=3.47 million or approximately 3.5 million people. Now, assume 30% of New Zealands 3.5 million has a liking for cricket and 70% of 30%=21% is passionate of dreams in cricket. That makes it about 735000 passiinate cricketers. Now, 11/735000= 1/66818.88888. Roughly, 1 in 70,000. An all rounder with rare talents and gifts is today making ends meet for his family by driving trucks and cleaning shades of buses. Yes, Chris Cairns it is. From being one in a multitude of people he is among the multitude of people with respect to his primary earnings and profession. Shocking but true. May destiny change for the better for the man and his family.
Posted on: Fri, 19 Sep 2014 16:03:12 +0000
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