Nice overview of El Nino and the challenges of seasonal climate - TopicsExpress



          

Nice overview of El Nino and the challenges of seasonal climate forecasting by Bob Henson • March 18, 2014 | Seasonal forecasting can’t tell us with certainty whether to expect hotter-than usual or milder-than-usual weather this summer. Yet we might soon have a stronger sense of what late 2014 and early 2015 are likely to bring to large parts of the globe. Probabilistic El Niño outlook issued 3/6/14 by NOAA/CPC Forecasters at NOAAs Climate Prediction Center and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society released this ENSO forecast on March 6. It will be updated in early April. The outlooks indicate only the probability of El Niño, not how strong it might be. (Image courtesy CPC/IRI.) That far-sighted confidence will hinge on whether or not a major El Niño event develops in the Pacific Ocean. On March 6, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued an El Niño
Posted on: Tue, 18 Mar 2014 16:23:18 +0000

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