Steve signing in at 7:49 AM. Clear skies with patchy fog this morning, temperatures in the 65° to 70° range, Burke Weather HQ at 67.6°. After fog burns off, expect a sunny and hot day with afternoon temperatures around 91° in the foothills and a few degrees cooler in the higher elevations. Any thunderstorms should be very sparse in coverage and mainly confined to the mountains. With hot and humid conditions continuing Sunday, our t-storm chances in the PM are slightly greater and isolated storms could break out over the foothills and the western piedmont of Catawba County. Coverage overall should be less than 30% on Sunday. The timing on the frontal system that is supposed to move through our counties seems to have been bumped up a bit. Now it looks like the front should pass through Tuesday morning but the best chance of thunderstorms out ahead of the front is tending toward Monday evening. Damaging winds and hail are possible with these storms as they organize to our northwest and meet with fairly favorable conditions once they reach the four county area. The forecast models are not quite in focus with this event yet so timing and storm intensity forecasts could change. I would like to say that once the front passes to our south and east, we can look forward to a few days of quieter, cooler and less humid weather. That is still possible and partly sunny skies with low 80s, nighttime lows in the low 60s are likely Wednesday and Thursday. The problem is that the front stalls out to our east and could eventually retreat westward and northward as the week progresses. Also in the northwest flow regime that takes over behind initial frontal passage, organized thunderstorms could develop in the Midwest and try to take a swipe or two at the North Carolina mountains as they propagate southward and eastward. In short, once the front passes Tuesday, I have guarded optimism for a few days of pleasant summer weather. But again, dont be surprised if things change. Even if a cold front manages to make it through western North Carolina in July, it usually doesnt make much forward progress after that.
Posted on: Sat, 12 Jul 2014 12:04:54 +0000
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