WEATHER SYNOPSIS: Oct 07 at 0630 am ■ 1 Convection;0 LPA/s;1 Active;2 Possible Threat ■ ⊙ 19W.VONGFONG (TYP) ⊙ → 17N 136.5E, roars just outside PAR. → W to WNW w/ 48-64kts winds. → Heading towards Okinawa on 11th & 12th with 80-100kts winds & 980 mb Central Pressure. STY CATEGORY. → THREATENS Northern Luzon to Okinawa, if FURTHER WESTWARD tracks continues or it should be in 20°N above on 9th to 10th. → It will ENHANCED the SW MONSOON over Vis-Min. → SIGNIFICANT rainfall STRETCHES from Palawan to Bicol & WIDENS from MiMaRoPa to Northern Mindanao b/w 9th & 11th, MODERATE to HEAVY RAINS, & LIGHT to MODERATE RAINS in nearby Province/s or Region/s. → It will be name as OMPONG, locally later TODAY. → FUJIWHARA EFFECT with PA3, when develops. ■ YELLOW - Monitoring is advice → Calabarzon, Central Luzon, Cagayan Valley. ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA 3(PA3) ⊙ → FUJIWHARA EFFECT with 19W.VONGFONG → WEAK & BROAD System → THREATENS Luzon b/w 9th & 11th. ■ GREEN - Monitor the Updates → MiMaRoPa, Calabarzon, NCR, Central Luzon ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Sept 30 ※ → Status: Tropical activity was GENERALLY SUPPRESSED over much of the Australasian region this past week (including the Indian sub-continent), EXCEPT countries surrounding the South China Sea and East China Sea (including the Philippines, Taiwan and the southeast coast of China). → South China Sea: SW Monsoon is ACTIVE and also allowed for a TC to form near Japan. → West Pacific Ocean: An INTENSIFICATION of tropical activity in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. → Next MJO Update : Oct 07 ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ~ TD:139 kts °° Rainfall: 1mm/min = 0.0394 in/min = 2.364 in/hr °° Distance: 1 mi = 1.609 km ■ Satellite Imagery: GOES & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity by World Meteorological Organization ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update by NOAA-ESRL ■ Thanks to NRL, CIMSS, NOAA, JTWC & WMO for PTU/PWS Basic Weather Forecasting & Pre-Forecast Tracking. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Mon, 06 Oct 2014 22:34:35 +0000
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