"With 60% probability, I think quantifying our uncertainty using probabilities is great whenever possible, but is unambiguously meaningful only when an event is sampled according to a probabilistic process that we know something about theoretically (e.g., in quantum mechanics), or in the limited domain of “bettable events” (i.e., events that belong to a large-enough ensemble of similar events that one could form a decent betting market around them)." - Scott Aaronson in response to the question, "Are you a Bayesian?"
Posted on: Wed, 18 Sep 2013 15:00:28 +0000
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