ကပၸလီပင္လယ္ျပင္မွ - TopicsExpress

ကပၸလီပင္လယ္ျပင္မွ ေလဖိအားနည္းဆဲလ္ 90W မုန္တိုင္းျဖစ္ႏိုင္ေျခ အဆင့္ HIGH သို႕ ေရာက္ရွိလာၿပီ By mmweather.ygn, on October 8th, 2013 blog.mmweather/2013/10/08/90w-invest-andarman-sea-2/ ကပၸလီပင္လယ္ျပင္တြင္ ျဖစ္ေပၚလွ်က္ရွိသည့္ ေလဖိအားနည္းဆဲလ္ INVEST-90W သည္ ပိုမိုအားေကာင္းလာၿပီး ၿမိတ္ၿမိဳ႕ အေနာက္ဘက္ ၂၇၅ မိုင္ခန္႕၊ ဖ်ာပံုၿမိဳ႕ ေတာင္-အေနာက္ေတာင္ဘက္ ၃ဝ၅ မိုင္ခန္႕၊ ကိုကိုးကၽြန္းေလဆိပ္၏ အေရွ႕ေတာင္ဘက္ ၁၇၅ မိုင္ခန္႕ အကြာ ပင္လယ္ျပင္တြင္ ဗဟိုျပဳေနပါသည္။ INVEST 90W သည္ အေနာက္-အေနာက္ေျမာက္ဘက္ (ဘဂၤလားပင္လယ္ေအာ္ အလယ္ပိုင္းသို႕) ဆက္လက္ေရြ႕လ်ားၿပီး ပိုမိုအားေကာင္းလာကာ ၂၄ နာရီအတြင္း မုန္တိုင္း ျဖစ္ေပၚႏိုင္ေျခအဆင့္ HIGH သတ္မွတ္ထားၿပီျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း JTWC မွ ယေန႕ ညေန ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ ၅ နာရီ အခ်ိန္ ထုတ္ျပန္ခ်က္တြင္ ေဖၚျပထားပါသည္။(ပံု-၁) ေလဖိအားနည္းဆဲလ္ INVEST-90W 08 Oct 2013 0600Z Location: 11.9 94.6 Winds: 25 knots Central Pressure: 1004 hPa THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 98.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 95.0E, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YANGON, MYANMAR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN IMPROVED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. THE LLCC CONTINUES TO TRACK IN A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS THE CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND IS UNDER DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW WITH WEAK TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. *DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE FURTHER CONSOLIDATION AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO AN STEADILY IMPROVING ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 32 KNOTS.* *MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 081000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.* *THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.* GFS ေမာ္ဒယ္ ခန္႕မွန္းခ်က္အရ ေအာက္တိုဘာလ ၉ ရက္ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ ဝ၆း၃ဝ နာရီ မတိုင္မီ မုန္တိုင္းအဆင့္သို႕ ေရာက္ရွိၿပီး အေနာက္ေျမာက္ဘက္သို႕ ဆက္လက္ေရြ႕လ်ားမည္ျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း ခန္႕မွန္းထားသည္ကို ေတြ႕ရပါသည္။ 90W တည္ရွိရာေနရာတြင္ လွဳိင္းအျမင့္ ၄.၇ မီတာအထိ ရွိႏိုင္ၿပီး ေလတိုက္ႏွဳန္း 35 knots အထိ ရွိႏိုင္ေၾကာင္း ေတြ႕ရပါသည္။ (ပံု-၂) Gale warning with dangerous seas. Small craft advisory. Use extreme caution. Large short period wind waves. Seas: WSW 3.6 to 4.7 meters at 7 seconds. Winds: SW 26 to 35 knots. MMweather Page

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