As currently Putin’s attention is fixed on Eastern Ukraine, the nations most under threat: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan have been given some time to prepare. While Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, with their gas and oil wealth and strong ties to Turkey will look to Turkey for arming and upgrading their militaries, the three Baltic nations must look to their few true allies, who too understand and take the Russian threat serious. Namely: Ukraine, Poland and Sweden. Together these six nations have almost 100 million inhabitants and a combined GDP of nearly $1700 billion. Together they are a power to reckon with. Poland and the Baltic nations as members of NATO and the EU cannot rely on NATO to come to their defense. Surely the UK and Canada, the US, Denmark and Norway would honor their article 5 commitment as would probably Spain and Portugal, but there is a serious risk that France, Germany, Italy and other nations would block the invoking of article 5. Therefore, it is imperative for the three Baltic nations and Poland to plan for their defense in case NATO will crumble and dissolve in the face of Russian aggression.
Posted on: Thu, 18 Sep 2014 13:23:46 +0000
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