Good Morning, After Friday’s soaking rain, which luckily didn’t yield local amounts quite as high as what we had feared, the weekend turned out rather decent across much of the Northeast and the mid- Atlantic states… Sure, there were a few scattered showers that popped up on the radar mosaic yesterday afternoon across the northern tier of counties in Pennsylvania and across upstate New York, but this activity was fairly isolated… Each day wound up providing us with a fair amount of sunshine, which shared the sky with cumulus clouds as a more unstable atmosphere ensued both afternoons… It was probably a bit cooler than most would have preferred it to be for many outdoor activities, especially with many morning temperatures starting out in the 40s or the low 50s… However, the recovery which took place each afternoon resulted in maximum temperatures between 65 and 70… These values are either near or just slightly below normal for this time of year… There has been a “dip in the jet stream”, or low pressure trough carved out over the Great Lakes and Northeast for the past couple of days, which obviously supports a somewhat cooler-thannormal weather pattern whenever its in place… The upcoming week will bring us an eventual relaxation of that trough, and a corresponding warm-up of rather modest proportions in the coming days… In addition to this, the warmer air will bring with it some shower and thunderstorm activity… When compared to the region’s spotty activity recently, it should become a bit more widespread, especially later on Wednesday, Wednesday night and Thursday… The workweek will then manage to end on a cooler note Friday - most afternoon temperatures will either be in the 60s or the lower 70s, bringing them back to levels which we’re expecting today… So, things sort of ‘come full-circle’, and the current thinking for now is that rainfall during midweek should not be excessive… We’ll define that by qualifying that the rainfall amounts should average less than half an inch for the 72-hour period ending early on Thursday morning… The Memorial Day Weekend is less than five days away, and a cursory glance at the weather pattern reveals there shouldn’t be any tremendous warm-up occurring around here… During some years, it is rather ‘poetic’ (just like calling it the “unofficial start of summer”) that this three-day weekend starts off rather cool and unsettled, but it ends up warmer and rather humid with temperatures climbing into the 80s by Monday afternoon… Well, I wouldn’t be ‘banking on that’ during this particular year… We’ll refrain from talking about the rainfall chances from day today at this point, since it appears now that we’ll be in the type of environment when daytime heating can cause enough instability to generate scattered showers and thunderstorms… So, we’re in a situation where we can “over-forecast it” if we cover for something in a certain location each and every one of those three days, but we also don’t gain anything by making the attempt to promise rain-free weather from this coming Friday evening through next Monday night… Have a good day!
Posted on: Mon, 19 May 2014 09:03:01 +0000
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