In response to a question in my message box. Q.Are we (USA) going to be fighting Russia? What if it comes down to nuclear war? A. No we will not be fighting Russia, at least not in the conventional sense. No, nuclear, chemical, and biological war is highly unlikely. Let me explain as to why. 1. wars between nations that have economic prowess and/or rich in natural resources can simple mess with the flow of money rather than expend those resources to wage a conventional war which is often far more costly all the way around. 2. Resources and who controls the physical geographical locations of such = actual base wealth of a country. Along with other factors such as labor force and military technology. 3. Tier two wealth is available countries to trade resources with and their relative geographical location to said subject country. Now take out a world map. Then look up a list of UN, NATO, EU, and BRICS member countries. Now lets Designate the color red to USA and all EU and NATO members. Now designate blue to Russia and the Following countries as all are not a part of BRICS but have good standing politically and economically with one another: China, India, Brazil, South Africa, Venezuela, Ecuador, Cuba, Syria, Libya, Argentina, Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Iran, and Nicaragua. Now you should have a sense geographically of the importance of some of these allied countries, whether it be on the side of Russia or America. With this understand the I will explain why strategically military confrontation is highly unlikely even If Russia takes Ukraine by force. Id even speculate that Russia could make moves on Estonia, Moldova, Latvia, and Belarus without any conventional military conflict from the EU,USA, or NATO. There is a unique reason for this. Russia actually supplies 38-42% of Europes natural gas and oil through pipelines that run throughout Europe from Russia. This makes for military strikes to be rather difficult for 2 reasons. 1. possible collateral damage to the pipelines due to military conflict. 2. Russia cutting off supply to make further advancements into Europe or to hurt its economy. This is not the only card in Russias hand. NATO spending on forces in Europe has drop significantly over the past 8 years and more so since operations in Afghanistan are winding down to their last few months. As well the USA has reduced forces in Europe to around 30,000 troops 50 aircraft, and a small destroyer fleet in the Mediterranean. While each country has its own forces it can be safely said they are rather inadequate in number and response time to handle Russia, also there is the risk of having the gas turned off for taking a militaristic posture with Russia. For these reasons military conflict is highly unlikely. Economic War: The Real Threat Heres where the clear and present danger for America and the EU exists. Despite the stock markets rising, and oil futures gaining value this is all false posturing. Remember, base wealth is the resources a country has access to with in their borders and territories. Certain banks have lowered Russias credit rating. Why? Well its not because of the sanctions. Its the fact that these banks have a vested interest in the Ukraine and the possibility of exploiting the country for its natural resources. This is simply these international banks ( whos allegiance is with the USA and EU) way of trying to hurt Russias market in a preemptive way to say Hey this is our prospected exploitation not yours. Hands off! What does a lower bank rating mean? It simply means Russia and its businesses are less likely to get approved for loans or at least sizable ones, and may also deter foreign investors when the rating diminishes the chances of being able to fully insure said investments due to the higher risk. Even though that risk is falsified/created synthetically by the bank in order to try and strong arm Russia. Russia knows if they hurt the rest of Europe will feel it. Which is why America ( Obama ) Doesnt care how hard we hit them or put stress on our Allies in Europe. I believe he said something to the effect of even though there is the real risk our actions could effect the global economy its a move we have to make. Meaning screw the guys in Europe. Can Russia retaliate and if so how? Yes they can. They have been setting the stage for this since as early as 2003. How? Well the world loves oil and natural gas. These commodities are often traded using the U.S. Dollar. This gives the Dollar most of its value. Russia along with China and other countries have been trading off and on bypassing using the Dollar. Now Russia is worlds largest natural gas exporter and producer. China is around 5th on the list. These two countries come may will finalize a trading agreement that will effect current and future oil/gas trading between these neighbors that includes using Gold, Yuan, and Ruble. This agreement includes bringing on 13 countries over a 3-5 year plan. So, this whole rhetoric of Russia isolating itself is a complete farce and should have been regarded as such prior to this agreement being worked out. Anyway, this will have a massive impact on the Dollar. America is already fiscally weak and such a blow could send the country into an economic crisis the likes it has never seen. This could also allow Russia who supplies, as I said, 38-42% of Europes oil/gas to pay in Rubles, gold, or Euros. If needed though it could deny use of the Euro as well. Though I doubt that will happen with those two economies residing next to each other. Back to point, The fiscal attack would bring the American economy to a standstill. This is not an if situation. What does it all mean? This is not about the Ukraine, though my heart goes out to those people and what they are facing right now. This is about American and the EU and its world banks being able to keep their strangle hold on how the world is run. The truth is Americas involvement in destabilizing the middle east and Ukraine are acts of desperation/greed on the part of these fiscal giants. In the ruins of their wake Russia has become the opportunist along with China and India. The possibility of the USA facing a financial crisis as I laid out in layman terms is very likely. We will know the full extent of what to expect by early May when Putin visits China to sign on the dotted line. America has allowed itself to be controlled by banks and thieves and now its people are very close to paying the price for it. Thought the public has been single minded on issues and unaware of how the world around them works they have fulfilled their duty as useful idiots as so described by Lenin.
Posted on: Thu, 27 Mar 2014 08:20:12 +0000
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