NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook: ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTEND FROM THE COAST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY MIDWEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND INTERESTS IN THAT AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER BERG nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml
Posted on: Mon, 26 Aug 2013 05:47:03 +0000
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