NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Aug, 2013 18:00 GMT Typhoon UTOR (11W) currently located near 19.8 N 112.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) China probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours probability for TS is 100% currently Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Macau probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours Hong Kong probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E) probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E) probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E) probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E) probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E) probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E) probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E) probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours Note that Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability. Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability. CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained. TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
Posted on: Tue, 13 Aug 2013 22:57:23 +0000
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