WEATHER SYNOPSIS: Sept 26 at 1230 pm ■ 2 Convection;0 LPA/s;1 Active;0 Possible Threat in next 5 days ■ ⊙ 17W.KAMMURI (Tropical Storm) ⊙ → near 22.5N 146.5E. → N w/ 34 to 48 kts → MONSOON TROUGH affecting Visayas-Mindanao including Palawan curves towards Kammuri(Pulled). ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA 1(PA1) ⊙ → To APPEAR b/w 27th & 28th, over Chuuk/Pohnpei-Kosrae. → Possible candidate for this PA1 is seen on the Satellite imagery. → Monitoring is advice. ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA 2(PA2) ⊙ → To APPEAR b/w 30th-1st, at the Palau-Yap area. → Monitoring is advice. SPECIAL NOTICE: → We will NOT designate as POTENTIAL AREA for a certain disturbance with NO POSSIBILITY for TC FORMATION. ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Sept 23 ※ → Status: Tropical activity was GENERALLY SUPPRESSED over much of the Australasian region this past week (including the Indian sub-continent), EXCEPT countries surrounding the South China Sea and East China Sea (including the Philippines, Taiwan and the southeast coast of China). → South China Sea: SW Monsoon is ACTIVE and also allowed for a TC to form near Japan. → West Pacific Ocean: An INTENSIFICATION of tropical activity in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. → Next MJO Update : Sept 30 ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ~ TD:139 kts °° Rainfall: 1mm/min = 0.0394 in/min = 2.364 in/hr °° Distance: 1 mi = 1.609 km ■ Satellite Imagery: GOES & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity by World Meteorological Organization ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update by NOAA-ESRL ■ Thanks to NRL, CIMSS, NOAA, JTWC & WMO for PTU/PWS Basic Weather Forecasting & Pre-Forecast Tracking. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Fri, 26 Sep 2014 04:48:46 +0000