ectetc/mp/Current_Scottish_MPs.pdf I have had a look at the Current 59 Scottish MPs and each winning 2010 majority that they won their seat with. Now if we follow this formula, which is an entirely feasible and realistic forecast for the 2015 general election, and we all Vote in solidarity for the SNP, then we are certain to take each and every one of the 59 seats using the First-Past-the-Post-System for our Worthy Cause. So....... 1: Pick a Constituency and click on the link (or copy and paste it if required) at the right hand column and it will take you to the parliament.co.ukwebsite. Scroll down to the bottom of the page and you will see the 2010 Voting statistics for this selected constituency. 2: Now add up all the Votes for all parties except the SNP, Green and SSP. So for example in MP Number 30, Margaret Curran, the figures read: Labour-19797, Lib dem-1617, Conservative-1453, BNP- 677, UKIP- 209. This totals up to: 23,753 Votes. 3: Now I believe that the SNP will have been able to have captured at least 30% of these Votes come the time of the 2015 General election. Obviously it will be a different turn-out and different voting numbers but the idea that around 30% of the Scottish electorate will be unhappy with the Better Together parties by May next year due to seeing through their 2014 Referendum Lies, Scaremongering and False Vow Promises is a realistic estimate I think. So we take this figure and divide it by 100 to get 1% and then multiply it by 30 to get the 30% of the Votes that the SNP are attracting in this example constituency. So: 23,753/100 X30= 7126 Votes. 4: Now take the Number of 2010 SNP Votes which in this example is 7957, and add the 7126 former Better Together votes to this. Also add the Number of votes for the Scottish Greens and the SSP, which in this case is: SSP- 454. So.....7957+7126+454= 15,537 SNP Votes. 5: Next find out what the winning party in your constituency won by in terms of numbers of votes, and in this example it was Labour who received 19797 votes. But we must subtract 30% from this to reflect the rise in SNP support therein. So 19797/100 X 30=5939 Votes. Now take this off their total 2010 number of Votes and we get, in this example: 19797-5939=13,858 Labour Votes. Therefore the SNP have hypothetically taken this constituency with 15537 Votes compared with Labour coming second place with 13858 Votes. This is due to the SNP attracting (which is quite a low estimate to keep in Conservative, excuse the pun) on average 30% of all Better Together Voters and by having the full support of the SSP and Green party who cast their Votes for the SNP in solidarity with the Scottish Independence movement. So check out the table and check out the numbers of Votes, and if you find one that the SNP do not win by a majority through using this formula then comment below and let it be known; then we will know we need to work extra hard in that constituency. Enjoy!
Posted on: Mon, 03 Nov 2014 14:21:02 +0000
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