/* All Round 2 matches for today */ Remaining Round 1 Matches(7) Up Later Hans #PodlipnikCastillo (213) vs. [19] Damir #Dzumhur (127) H2H: PodlipnikCastillo leads 1-0 Brašov2012: 6-4 6-2 on clay COMMENTS: PodlipnikCastillo is 71-30 over past 12 months on clay. However, does play at a lower level than Dzumhur. He does have great form over past 3 months of 27-4. Dzumhur is 12-7 over the same time. He didnt give any BP chances in his 1st round match of 6-1 6-0 vary lopsided. Dzumhur won his match 6-1 6-4. Tip: PodlipnikCastillo to win a set $1.87 --------------------------------------------- [9] Peter #Gojowczyk (111) vs. Simone #Bolelli (151) H2H: Gojowczyk leads 1-0 (Bolelli retired when match was 1 set a piece on indoors 2012) COMMENTS: Bolelli all day here. He is a clay courter unlike Gojowczyk. Was disappointed that Bolelli didnt win in SS yesterday but thats betting. Bit late on missing this one, odds for Bolelli opened at $2 on bet365, now they have dropped to $1.33 #FollowTheMoney. Gojowczyk is 2-6 past 3 months, Bolelli 17-5. Tip: Bolelli --------------------------------------------- [WC] Thanasi #Kokkinakis (321) vs. Niels #Desein (235) H2H: havent met COMMENTS: Kokkinakis won yesterday 6-1 6-2 as expected, Desein won as an underdog vs Bakker (who I tipped) 6-3 6-4. Kokk is 12-6 on clay past 12 months, Desein is 26-14 (looks to play more on clay). Past 3 months, Kokk is 12-6 (12-5 on clay), Desein is 7-8 (4-4 on clay). Kokk lost in the Semis last week to Struff at Heilbronn 6-2 6-1 (may have been exhausted as had to come thru qualis and played a 3 set b4 this match). Tip: Kokkinakis at $1.36 to $1.45 --------------------------------------------- Marc #Gicquel (156) vs. [18] Andreas #Beck (125) H2H: Beck leads 3-1 (2 on clay one on grass) Latest match was 2013 on clay: 5-7 7-6 6-0 COMMENTS: This is Gicquels last FrenchOpen (i didnt tip him yesterday). Beck was my tip yesterday and was the first match completed (6-3 6-4). Gicquel hit 11 aces and 60% of first serves in, he gave up 10 BP chances and saved 8. Beck played Laaksonen yesterday who hit 13. Beck himself hit 5, and only gave up one BP chances which he saved. he won a mammoth 81% of 1st serves. With Gicquel giving up a number of BP chances, Ill leaning towards Beck here. Gicquel is 3-5 over 3 months, Beck is 21-5 (won 2 indoor finals and made a clay final) Tip: beck $1.30 with Sportingbet ($1.22 on bet365) --------------------------------------------- Ante #Pavic (179) vs. Marius #Copil (152) H2H: havent met COMMENTS: Copil has had some better results of late, he lost to Dimitrov(14) 4-6 6-3 7-6 in 3 after winning first set. This may be a tight game with a chance of TB. Pavic got thru 1st rnd here vs Soeda by retiring. Pavic lost the first set but was in control after (taking 2nd set 6-0, and 3rd 4-1). Copil got thru in SS 6-4 7-6. One to leave out of a multi. Tip: Copil (win) --------------------------------------------- [12] Andrey #Kuznetsov (117) vs. Andrej #Martin (159) H2H: tied 1-1 Both matches went 3 sets. Martin won the last meeting last year on clay 7-6 4-6 6-2. COMMENTS: Both had easy wins first round which I expected. Martin vs Jenkins(239) 6-1 6-2. Souto(217) 6-2 6-2. There is no doubt this could be a close match. Martin gave up 1 BP (saved) but had 8 chances. Kuznetsov gave up 6 (saved all) but had 17 chances, and only converting 4. Kuznetsov is about $1.40-$1.45 as favourite. Martin to win a set is $1.72 which is generous given their past history. Both have a common opponent in Fucsovics at Heilbronn last week. Both martin and Kuzzie took it to three sets. Tip: Martin to win a set is $1.72 --------------------------------------------- Andres #Molteni (258) vs. Emilio #Gomez (243) H2H: havent met COMMENTS: Tough match. I want to go for Gomez (whose dad won the FrenchOpen some 24 years ago), but he had an interview yesterday where he said the nervous got the better of him. He couldve won the match in straight sets, but lost the TB to Wang 6-1 6-7 6-1. Molteni took out Kudla 6-2 6-2. Gomez is 22 vs Molteni 26. Gomez at the start of year was aiming to make it to the qualifiers of a GS, which has has done. Tip: Molteni $1.75 --------------------------------------------- [4] Blaz #Rola (94) vs. Inigo #Cervantes (518) H2H: Rola leads 2-0 (2012 and 2011 on clay) COMMENTS: Cervantes is 10-15 lifetime vs left-handers (Rola is lefty). Looking at match stats, Cervantes was only serving at 48% of first serves in + only won 26% of first serve points of Wu (who was only serving 48% in). Both players tend to spend a lot of time on clay + have similiar win statistics over the past few months, so could be a close match here. Leanign towards Rola. Tip: Rola (win) --------------------------------------------- [8] Diego Sebastian #Schwartzman (109) vs. Martin #Alund (191) H2H: Schwartzman leads 5-3 COMMENTS: Both played in March at Barranquilla on clay. Schwartzman won 7-6 6-2. NOTE: Alund won first 4 matches when Schwartzman was about 18 (he is now 21). Schwartzman is 46-24 and Alund 34-27 on clay past 12 months. Over the past 3 months, both players have only played clay, Schwartzman is 16-7 and Alund 5-7. Schwartzman lost a tight 1st set vs Millot in a TB, but then controlled the match, winning 2nd and 3rd sets 6-7 6-1 6-1. Alund beat Ramirez 6-4 6-2. Tip: Schwartzman $1.57 (Sportingbet) $1.40 at bet365 --------------------------------------------- Rogerio Dutra #Silva (175) vs. [32] Facundo #Bagnis (144) H2H: Silva leads 3-1 Silva beat Bagnis at Panama this March on clay 3-6 6-3 6-2 COMMENTS: Silva is 34-35 lifetime vs lefties (but 8-2 from last 10). On clay this is 3-1 over past 12 months. Silva served a massive 90% of first serves in (44/49) vs Hernych (6-4 6-3) and gave 2 BP chances (saved 1). Bagnis served 59% and gave up 7 BP chances (saved 6) vs Baena (6-3 6-3). If Silva has another day of great serving as yesterday, he should take this. Silva is 12-4 over past 3 months (won Sao Paulo final vs Rola who was seed 1 and didnt drop a set whole tourny), Bagnis is 9-7. Silva with the winning form. Tip: Silva $1.87 --------------------------------------------- Maxime #Authom (234) vs. [28] Samuel #Groth (139) H2H: havent met COMMENTS: Odds switch here. Groth opened st $1.72 at bet365, out to $2 and out to $2.30 at Pinnacle. Groth does have his big serve, but Im still worried about his injury from the other week. He served up 12 aces vs Cipolla who has been horrendous form of late 7-6 6-3. Authom has some poor stats when it comes to big servers 13-22 (37.14%) lifetime, 5-4 on clay, but have to go back to 2011 for his last win. Im going against the odds movement. Tip: Groth --------------------------------------------- [10] Michael #Berrer (112) vs. Andre #Ghem (223) H2H: Berrer leads 1-0 Wimbledon2013: 6-3 7-5 COMMENTS: Berrer 1st round went 2.5 hours for 3 sets (6-3 5-7 6-3). Ghem got thru 1hour 7mins (6-4 6-2). Ghem is 20-5 lifetime when his odds are $1.50 to $1.99, and 16-3 when on clay. A concern vs lefties, is 14-22 lifetime and 13-15 on clay (but returns a positive ROI). Berrer was made to work hard 1st round vs someone that had lost 6 of last 7 when Opponent is a Left Hander and lost 10 in a row when priced as Moderate Underdog ($3.00 to $5.99) Tip: Ghem $1.65 with Sportingbet ($1.57 on bet365) --------------------------------------------- Uladzimir #Ignatik (256) vs. Gastao #Elias (181) H2H: tied 1-1 (last match 2010) 1 match was when they competed at Wimbledon junoirs (Ignatik won). Elias won the match on hard in 3 sets. COMMENTS: Elias won his match yesterday 6-3 6-1 as expected, Ignatik won as an underdog vs Fucsovics (who I tipped and has been in great form) 6-4 6-4. Elias is 20-17 past 12 months on clay, Ignatik is 16-7. Elias plays more challenger matches then Ignatik who usually plays at ITF. Past 3 months stats, Ignatik is 19-7 and Elias is 16-8. Elias has beaten Volandri(84), Garcia-Lopez(39), Schwartzman(121), Ramos(87 - lost but went 3 sets) over the past few months. Some solid results vs top players on clay. Ignatiks resume doesnt of recent doesnt come close but is regularly winning at lower levels. Fucsovics was so poor on return yesterday only winning 10 points on Ignatiks serve. Elias won 48% of return points. Tip: Elias at $1.40 --------------------------------------------- Kimmer #Coppejans (221) vs. Ruben #Bemelmans (164) H2H: havent met COMMENTS: I tipped Ungur yest to beat Bemelmans. Bemelmans is vary lucky in my opinion. The last 2 sets, Ungur would break Beme but woudl then get broken himself. There was 28 BP chances in this match. Ungur was up 4-2 last set and serving to make it 5-2, but gave up the break and didnt win another game. Coppejans had a close two set win over Bozoljac 7-6 6-2. Coppejans is 35-11 on clay past 12 months, Beme is 8-5 on clay. Coppejans is 18-7 past 3 months (8-5 on clay), Beme is 9-8 (6-4 on clay). Tip: Coppejans $1.57 (bet365) to $1.67 (Sportingbet) --------------------------------------------- [11] Malek #Jaziri (116) vs. Jesse Huta #Galung (147) H2H: Galung leads 1-0 Monza2010: 6-3 6-1 (on clay) COMMENTS: Galung got thru first rnd 6-2 6-0 (vs Fabbiano(168) who I tipped and was keen on). Jaziri played Halys(701) and got thru 7-5 3-6 8-6. He had 3 MPs when leading 5-2 in the 3rd set. Verse someone ranked 701 this is quite a scare and would find it hard to back him here vs Galung who got thru with ease. Galung past year is 25-12 on clay, Jaziri is 5-6. Some pretty solid stats for Galung 1st round. Tip: Galung $1.72 with Sportingbet ($1.57 on bet365) --------------------------------------------- James #Ward (169) vs. [21] Ryan #Harrison (129) H2H: Harrison leads 2-0 FO2011: 6-7 7-5 6-2 (clay) Nottingham2010: 6-3 6-3 (grass) COMMENTS: it has been a while since both have met. Harrison is 6-5 at FrenchOpen, Ward is 1-3. Harrison is 6-4 over the past 12 months, Ward is 8-6. Past 3 months, Harrison is 9-7 and Ward is 9-10. Both got thru 1st rnd in SS. Fair chance of TB. Another to prob not pop into a multi Tip: Harrison $1.52 with Sportingbet ($1.40 on bet365) ---------------------------------------------- #LIKE / #SHARE / #COMMENT
Posted on: Wed, 21 May 2014 05:47:37 +0000
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