Dangerous Biased views from Polish Politicians about Russians. These views now reflects in European parliament. Those views threatens global stability again. Explains surely the direction from new European parliamentarians without consent of most European citizens ....... Interesting (dangerous instigating) writing by Dr. Kataryna Wolczuk . Dr. Kataryna Wolczuk acts as an Expert to the Committee of Foreign Affairs of the European Parliament. Works also for The King Baudouin Foundation is the strategic partner of the European Policy Centre. Her publication: Ukraine and the EU: turning the Association Agreement into a success story. by Dr. Kataryna Wolczuk. epc.eu/documents/uploads/pub_4360_ukraine_and_the_eu.pdf An excerpt from her publication: The Russian factor ----The implementation of the AA is a challenge on its own. But Russias policy towards Ukraine increases the challenge immensely. Russia can and will work to undermine Ukraines European choice while depicting the AA as a suicidal pact for Ukraine. The extent to which Russia is prepared to go to punish Ukraine for its westward orientation is already evident. Therefore, above-mentioned challenges, omissions and risks now have acquired a particular geopolitical salience. Russia endeavours to build the Eurasian Economic Union by 2015 and create a single Eurasian market. This development presents Ukraine with the prospect of being increasingly excluded from this market. Russia is and will remain an important trading partner: Russia attracts 20.7% of Ukrainian exports (just below the EU, 21.8%). Russia will utilise a full spectrum of punitive measures to exploit Ukraines dependency on the Russian market, aside from any other forms of direct intervention. Re-orientation away from Russia will be politically painful and economically costly for Ukraine. This poses a major challenge for the EUs strategy in the eastern neighbourhood. What was a technical matter is now a political and geopolitical matter. The temporary lifting of tariffs for most Ukrainian products till November 2014 by the EU is certainly a step in the right direction. But the current level of quotas for Ukraine, especially for agricultural products, needs further revising on a unilateral basis. For instance, in cases where the EU restricts market access for key agricultural products (such as, for example, dairy products) from Ukraine, the Ukrainian producers have no choice but to rely on access to the Russian/Eurasian market, despite arbitrary restrictions imposed by Russia. Not only they will be forced to adapt to regulations of the Russian/Eurasian market but will remain highly sensitive to the political aspects of relations with Russia. The economic and social costs for the electorate in eastern and southern Ukraine will have repercussions for Ukrainian domestic politics. Like the EU, the Eurasian project entails deep economic integration and relies on ex-ante approximation. This means thatat least in the short term, the Ukrainian producers find themselves already caught in two different regulatory regimes. To prevail, European integration has to be attractive and feasible to compensate for the loss of the Russian market and punitive energy pricing. Russia is well positioned and highly determined to undermine Ukraines European integration in three respects. First, Russia can draw upon a much broader spectrum of instruments than the EU and, unlike the EU, does not hesitate to deploy punitive measures, even by transgressing domestic and international law. Second, Russia exploits the above mentioned weaknesses in the EU strategy by stressing the short-term costs and benefits from integration with the Eurasian regime, as opposed to the long-term benefits derived from integration with the EU. Russian officials refer to the DCFTA as a suicidal for the Ukrainian economy and will miss no opportunity to highlight any losses and disruptive effects. Third, Russia exploits specific needs and vulnerabilities of the countries in the near abroad. Russia carefully selects its instruments from the wide array at its disposal to target specific countries, domestic actors, regions, sectors etc. As a result, the price imposed by Moscow for moving away from Russia further increases the already high costs of closer economic integration with the EU for Ukraine. During the DCFTA negotiations with Ukraine, the role of Russia was not factored in to any significant extent. In essence, the EU had glossed over not only the political and economic costs that the EaP countries had to pay for complying with EUs own offer but also the costs imposed by Russia for moving towards the EU. The new political context in the eastern neighbourhood needs to be fully reflected in the EUs strategy and the adoption of Autonomous Trade Preferences is a very good first step in this direction. ---- epc.eu/documents/uploads/pub_4360_ukraine_and_the_eu.pdf -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Maybe Dr. Kataryna Wolczuk is striving again to old lost dreams from Kingdom of Poland around 1617 ??? Parts of Ukraine were occupied by the Polish Kingdom and Grand Duchy of Lithuania? I really not Understand what Polish politicians have with Ukraine. History repeating itself again ?? Read carefully people ...... Then you will find classic textbook material . Excerpt from Wikipedia. A Polish general offensive throughout Volhynia and Eastern Galicia began on May 14, 1919. It was carried out by units of the Polish Army aided by the newly arrived Blue Army of General Józef Haller de Hallenburg. This army, composed of Polish forces which had fought for the Entente on the Western front,[44] numbering 60,000 troops,[45] was well equipped by the Western allies and partially staffed with experienced French officers specifically in order to fight the Bolsheviks. now ...... 1) Replace Poland now By NATO. 2) Ukraine front supplied by NATO (western allies) 3) Experienced French officers by NATO advisors... 4) Bolsheviks by Russians That again sounds familiar to the prelude of WWII Poland seizes West Ukrainian Peoples Republic. On July 17, 1919, a ceasefire was signed in the Polish–Ukrainian War with the West Ukrainian Peoples Republic (ZUNR). As part of the agreement Poland kept ZUNR territory. The West Ukrainian Peoples Republic then merged with the Ukrainian Peoples Republic (UNR).On June 25, 1919, Supreme Allies Council transferred East Galicia (ZUNR territory) to Poland.
Posted on: Thu, 25 Sep 2014 02:11:57 +0000
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