Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook: 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 252333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT WED SEP 25 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE IS A RELATIVELY SMALL WINDOW FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT THIS WEEKEND BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. && FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO $$ FORECASTER BERG nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml
Posted on: Wed, 25 Sep 2013 23:48:08 +0000