External proximate cause: cross-conflict spillover. Are - TopicsExpress

External proximate cause: cross-conflict spillover. Are conflicts crossing borders to increase levels of conflict in neighboring countries, or are leaders taking steps to avoid the conflict outcomes they observed in nearby countries or regions with similar group conflicts? Leaders may be repelled by external conflicts, constraining them from violent escalation and encouraging them to undertake measures to keep domestic angers from destabilizing their own states. Burundi’s leadership struggled to reduce tensions after the Rwandan genocide, and Rwanda’s leaders vowed not to allow their country to follow Burundi’s path once Burundi’s conflict escalated. Greece-Macedonia (1992 on), the Czech and Slovak Republics (1992-1993) and Hungary/Slovakia (1992-1994) conflicts have all been informed and mitigated by the carnage of the Yugoslav wars.

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