From Doc Mike: TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (DOMENG) UPDATE NUMBER 013 Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Tuesday 08 April 2014 Next Update: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tuesday 08 April 2014 Tropical Depression PEIPAH (DOMENG) has drifted north-northwestward during the past six hours over the central part of the South Philippine Sea as it continues to struggle to re-organize...may pose a threat to Eastern Visayas. Residents and visitors along Mindanao, Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of TD Peipah (Domeng). Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone. EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN MINDANAO: Moderate to Heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm are likely to occur beginning Wednesday morning until Friday morning. Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation for possible changes in its forecast. CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT. Location: Over the central part of South Philippine Sea (near 7.2N 131.5E) About: 330 km west of Koror, Palau...or 555 east-southeast of Cateel, Davao Oriental Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 2 to 450 mm [Slight to Extreme] Size (in diameter): 610 km (Small) Past Movement: North-Northwest at 11 kph Forecast Movement: Northwest at 05 kph Towards: Eastern Visayas 3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK* Peipah (Domeng) is expected to move generally northwest throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the weak core of TD Peipah will continue to move across the South Philippine Sea through Thursday evening. It will be over the Central Philippine Sea by Friday early morning. Peipah (Domeng) is expected to maintain its strength within the next 12 hours...and re-intensify slightly regaining Tropical Storm (TS) classification by 72 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing back to 65 kph on Friday morning. The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system: WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies slightly while moving NW across the South Philippine Sea...about 480 km ENE of Cateel, Davao Oriental [2AM APR 09: 8.3N 130.8E @ 55kph]. THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues moving NW while still over the South Philippine Sea...about 430 km ESE of Siargao Island [2AM APR 10: 9.5N 130.0E @ 55kph]. FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a TS as it moves over the Central Philippine Sea very slowly turning slightly to WNW...about 320 km ENE of Siargao Island [2AM APR 11: 10.3N 129.0E @ 65kph]. *Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs! ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Apr 08, 2014 Class/Name: TD Peipah (Domeng) Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa) Location of Center: Near 7.2º N Lat 131.5º E Lon Distance 1: 330 km W of Koror, Palau Distance 2: 555 km ESE of Cateel, Davao Oriental Distance 3: 585 km ESE of Bislig City Distance 4: 675 km SE of Siargao Island Distance 5: 720 km SE of Surigao City
Posted on: Mon, 07 Apr 2014 23:47:07 +0000
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