In regards to Iran, in Brookings Which Path to Persia report, it states specifically (emphasis added): Israel appears to have done extensive planning and practice for such a strike already, and its aircraft are probably already based as close to Iran as possible. As such, Israel might be able to launch the strike in a matter of weeks or even days, depending on what weather and intelligence conditions it felt it needed. Moreover, since Israel would have much less of a need (or even interest) in securing regional support for the operation, Jerusalem probably would feel less motivated to wait for an Iranian provocation before attacking. In short, Israel could move very fast to implement this option if both Israeli and American leaders wanted it to happen. However, as noted in the previous chapter, the airstrikes themselves are really just the start of this policy. Again, the Iranians … would probably retaliate against Israel, and they might retaliate against the United States, too (which might create a pretext for American airstrikes or even an invasion). -page 91, Which Path to Persia?, Brookings Institution.
Posted on: Fri, 01 Nov 2013 11:31:01 +0000
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