NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook: ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT THU SEP 12 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS LOW...IN COMBINATION WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...WILL LIKELY BRING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER CANGIALOSI nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml
Posted on: Fri, 13 Sep 2013 06:12:04 +0000
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