Sport: Tennis Market: US Open – Rogerio Dutra Silva v Rafael Nadal Pick: Total UNDER 26 Games Odds: $1.80 Agency: Centrebet Wager: 3 units Analysis: Raf Nadal is unbeaten on hard court this year. Although Raf was born to play (and dominate) on clay and did so from his first season on the tour, he has gradually improved his hard court prowess over the years and now seems to enjoy playing there almost as much as on the red dirt. Nadal is 17-0 so far this year on hard courts. In the first round, Nadal disposed of promising young US player Ryan Harrison 6-4, 6-2, 6-2 on the way to this second round match up against Rogerio Silva. The Brazillian qualifier surprised us all in his come from behind win over top 50 ranked Vasek Pospisil, defeating him 4-6, 3-6, 7-6, 6-2, 7-6 in a marathon 5 setter that went for over 4 hours. We like the under on total games here as we think there is a real chance of both the let down factor (Dutra has already played his final, progressing to the 2nd round) and also the fatigue factor, coming off a tough 5 set match. Interestingly, Dutra Silva made the second round of the US Open last year after winning his first round match up in 5 sets. He then lost to Novak Djokovic 6-2, 6-1, 6-2 in the second round. We see a similar result here, if not even more convincing. Take the Total UNDER 26 games in this one. #EasyMoney
Posted on: Thu, 29 Aug 2013 12:53:23 +0000
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