THANK YOU SIR, MAY I HAVE ANOTHER? THAT FAMOUS SAYING FROM YEARS AGO IS CERTAINLY APPROPRIATE IN THIS CURRENT WEATHER PATTERN. LIKE WE DISCUSSED LAST FRIDAY, IN A SETUP LIKE THIS, THERE IS ALWAYS THE TEMPTATION TO JUMP WAY AHEAD TO THE NEXT STORM OR THE ONE AFTER THAT. WE HAVE TO KEEP THINGS IN PERSPECTIVE AND DEAL WITH ONE STORM AT A TIME. OTHERWISE, IT REALLY DOES GET TOO CONFUSING. OBVIOUSLY, WITH SUCH A SHORT BREAK BETWEEN THE CURRENT SYSTEM AND THE NEXT STORM, WE HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO DEAL WITH TWO EVENTS AT THE SAME TIME. FORTUNATELY, STORM #1 WILL SOON BE WINDING DOWN, AND IT WILL JUST BE A MOP-UP OPERATION. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN TONIGHT, CAUSING SKIES TO CLEAR. THAT WILL SET FOR A DRY, COLD DAY TOMORROW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY THE END OF THE DAY. AS FOR THE NEXT STORM, IT IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKE A SITUATION WHERE THE PRIMARY LOW TRACKS UP WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS TO A POINT, AND THEN JUMPS OVER TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AS A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPS AND EVENTUALLY TAKES OVER AS THE MAIN SYSTEM. WE EXPECT THAT PRIMARY LOW TO END UP NEAR MORGANTOWN, WV BY EARLY WEDNESDAY, WITH THE SECONDARY LOW TAKING OVER SOMEWHERE ON THE DELMARVA PENINSULA... MAYBE AS FAR NORTH AS EXTREME SOUTHERN NJ. A TRACK LIKE THAT WILL KEEP THE LOW LEVELS PRETTY COLD THROUGHOUT THE PRECIP EVENT, OR AT LEAST PREVENT TEMPS FROM GETTING ALL THAT HIGH...EVEN WHERE IT DOES GO ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER, THE UPPER-AIR SCENARIO FOR THIS NEXT STORM WILL FAVOR SOME WARMING WORKING ITS WAY IN ALOFT, AS THE VORT MAX TRACKS NORTH AND WEST OF HERE. THE OVERALL LOOK TO THIS NEXT STORM SEEMS VERY CLASSIC, I.E., THE THE MOST LIKELY ZONE TO GET ALL SNOW AND THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE FROM NORTHERN PA, FAR NORTHWEST NJ, THE MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY, AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AWAY FROM THE COAST...ON NORTHWARD. MEANWHILE, THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO GET PRIMARILY RAIN FROM THAT STORM WILL BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ATLANTIC CITY, NJ TO DOVER, DE TO THE EASTERN SHORE OF MD. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS WILL BE A ZONE WHERE WE BASICALLY HAVE TO ALLOW FOR THE KITCHEN SINK. OBVIOUSLY, THE PERCENTAGES OF SNOW, ICE, AND ANY RAIN WILL DETERMINE ACCUMULATIONS. WE ARE CONCERNED ABOUT A NARROW STRIP OF SOME SERIOUS ICING WITH AN EXTENDED SPELL OF FREEZING RAIN. THAT MAY RUN FROM NEAR HAGERSTOWN, MD TO YORK AND LANCASTER, PA TO THE NORTHERN SUBURBS OF PHILLY INTO INTERIOR CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NJ, AND MAYBE EVEN INTO SOUTHERNMOST NEW ENGLAND...AWAY FROM THE COAST. HERE ARE SOME OF THE SPECIFICS OF THE STORM FOR OUR AREA... START TIME: AROUND 2 AM ENDING TIME: BY ABOUT 2 PM ON WEDNESDAY WORST OF THE STORM: 3 AM TO 11 AM SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION: ABOUT 3 IN CITY, 3-6 NORTH, 1-3 LONG ISLAND AND SOUTH, 6-12 WELL NORTH OUR WEATHER WILL IMPROVE, BUT TURN COLDER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THEN IT IS LIKELY TO STAY QUIET THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF THIS COMING WEEKEND.
Posted on: Mon, 03 Feb 2014 20:30:28 +0000
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