The final GOP primary in Michigan will be in the 11th where incumbent Kerry Bentivolio will face Dave Trott. This district is based in the Detroit suburbs and Bentovolio was heavily targeted by the Democrats in the past election when Thaddeus McCotter failed to get enough signatures. However, except for some brief breaks in the FDR years and only once since has a Democrat held this seat. Their strongest chance was in 2012 with Syed Taj, but Bentivolio won by 6 points. There is no doubt that redistricting favored Bentivolio in 2012 as the district he ran in was more Republican than the one McCotter represented. This has all the earmarks of 2012 again. Then, Bentivolio’s primary opponent outspent him, but he prevailed. Trott has seriously out-raised and outspent him this year, but scant polling points to a Bentivolio victory. Trott is trotting out a well-worn tune now: “I am a business owner. I know how to create jobs. That translates into being a good Congressman.” To be sure, Bentivolio’s past campaigns have been mired in some controversy, but he seems to have survived. A favorite of the Tea Party Express, Bentivolio’s biggest drawback seems to be his inability to raise campaign funds, so 2014 is nothing new. All-in-all this would seem to be a more tranquil campaign than 2012. With that being said, this writer would endorse Kerry Bentivolio.
Posted on: Sat, 02 Aug 2014 21:57:17 +0000
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