This weekend will be wet in some places across the Southeast and Gulf Coast but not because of any tropical storms or hurricanes. Things are beginning to slacken up quite a bit as we head towards the end of September. The NHC has lowered the chances of development for invest 95L in the western Gulf of Mexico. Computer models still indicate that a weak low will take shape from this system which could have some strong winds and heavy rains associated with it but nothing purely tropical. The good news is that a healthy dose of rain is likely for areas from Texas across to the Carolinas though some areas could receive a little too much too soon. Meanwhile, a weak area of low pressure is trying to develop well east of Florida and could become what is termed a subtropical cyclone as it moves to the north with time. Interests in Bermuda want to pay attention to this feature as it could bring rain and an increase in wind over the next few days. Way over in the western Pacific, a powerful typhoon, Usagi, is closing in on southern Taiwan today where excessive rain is likely to fall due in part to the lifting of the moisture associated with the mountainous terrain there. It looks like the core of the typhoon will pass far enough south of Taiwan to keep the worst conditions offshore. Then, early next week, Usagi is expected to make landfall in China, possibly near Hong Kong as a strong typhoon but probably weaker than it is currently. I’ll have posts throughout the weekend.
Posted on: Sun, 22 Sep 2013 05:41:13 +0000
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